Round 22 - Ligue 1
Olympique de Marseille VS RC Strasbourg
Stade Vélodrome
14 February, 2026
Overview:
Olympique de Marseille hosts RC Strasbourg in Ligue 1 Round 22 at Orange Vélodrome on February 14, 2026. Marseille enters as strong favorites based on superior league position (2nd place, 39 points), home advantage, and dominant head-to-head record.
Recent H2H results: Marseille 8 wins, Strasbourg 1 win, 9 draws
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Marseille.
Marseille's home dominance is supported by 18-match unbeaten streak against Strasbourg at home. Expected possession favors Marseille (58% vs 42%), allowing them to control tempo and create opportunities for Greenwood and Aubameyang. Strasbourg's defensive challenges against Marseille suggest focus on containment rather than attacking play. Over 2.5 goals have occurred in recent encounters, suggesting open match despite Strasbourg's defensive limitations.
Multiple factors strongly favor Marseille: superior league position, home advantage, elite attacking talent, historical dominance (8-1-9 H2H record), unbeaten home record against Strasbourg, and significantly better scoring average. Strasbourg's weak away form and poor goal-scoring efficiency against this opponent provide limited counterbalance.
Last Update: 12-02-2026
Stats:
| Olympique de Marseille | RC Strasbourg |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 0.58 | 0.42 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.4962 | 0.2667 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 17 | 3 | 3 | 54 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 17 | 1 | 5 | 52 |
| 3 | Olympique Lyon | 14 | 3 | 6 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers SCO | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 6 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 5 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 23 | 14 | 5 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 23 | 13 | 1 |
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 23 | 12 | 3 |
| W. Saïd | RCL | FRA | 22 | 10 | 2 |
