Overview:

Serie A Round 20 fixture between Fiorentina (home) and AC Milan (away) at Stadio Artemio Franchi on January 11, 2026. Milan currently holds 2nd position while Fiorentina ranks 18th, indicating a significant quality gap despite Fiorentina's home advantage.

Recent H2H results: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan (14-12-25)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of AC Milan.
Milan's superior possession and shot creation should dominate proceedings. Fiorentina likely to employ defensive compactness and counter-attacking approach. Pulisic and Leão's pace creates significant tactical advantages for Milan. Fiorentina's injury concerns (Lamprey, Dzeko both doubtful) further limit attacking options. Milan's pressing and transitions should exploit Fiorentina's limited midfield creativity.
League position gap (2nd vs 18th), recent head-to-head result (2-1 to Milan), superior attacking personnel, possession dominance pattern, and Fiorentina's recent poor form all strongly favor Milan. Home advantage provides minimal offset given quality differential.

Last Update: 09-01-2026

Stats:

ACF Fiorentina	AC Milan
Expected Possession
44.67	55.33
Average Goals Per Match
1.4	2.8
Win Probability
0.18	0.6

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Inter	27	6	5	87
2	Napoli	23	7	8	76
3	Roma	23	4	11	73
4	Como 1907	20	11	7	71
5	Milan	20	10	8	70
6	Juventus	19	12	7	69
7	Atalanta	15	14	9	59
8	Bologna	16	8	14	56
9	Lazio	14	12	12	54
10	Udinese	14	8	16	50
11	Sassuolo	14	7	17	49
12	Torino	12	9	17	45
13	Parma	11	12	15	45
14	Cagliari	11	10	17	43
15	Fiorentina	9	15	14	42
16	Genoa	10	11	17	41
17	Lecce	10	8	20	38
18	Cremonese	8	10	20	34
19	Verona	3	12	23	21
20	AC Pisa	2	12	24	18

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
L. Martínez	INT	ARG	33	17	6
A. Douvikas	COM	GRE	38	14	1
D. Malen	ROM	NET	18	14	2
M. Thuram-Ulien	INT	FRA	31	13	6

ACF Fiorentina VS AC Milan

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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