Overview:

Serie A Round 20 fixture between Fiorentina (home) and AC Milan (away) at Stadio Artemio Franchi on January 11, 2026. Milan currently holds 2nd position while Fiorentina ranks 18th, indicating a significant quality gap despite Fiorentina's home advantage.

Recent H2H results: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan (14-12-25)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of AC Milan.
Milan's superior possession and shot creation should dominate proceedings. Fiorentina likely to employ defensive compactness and counter-attacking approach. Pulisic and Leão's pace creates significant tactical advantages for Milan. Fiorentina's injury concerns (Lamprey, Dzeko both doubtful) further limit attacking options. Milan's pressing and transitions should exploit Fiorentina's limited midfield creativity.
League position gap (2nd vs 18th), recent head-to-head result (2-1 to Milan), superior attacking personnel, possession dominance pattern, and Fiorentina's recent poor form all strongly favor Milan. Home advantage provides minimal offset given quality differential.

Last Update: 09-01-2026

Stats:

ACF Fiorentina	AC Milan
Expected Possession
44.67	55.33
Average Goals Per Match
1.4	2.8
Win Probability
0.18	0.6

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Inter	22	1	4	67
2	Milan	16	9	2	57
3	Napoli	16	5	6	53
4	Roma	16	3	8	51
5	Como 1907	13	9	5	48
6	Juventus	13	8	6	47
7	Atalanta	12	9	6	45
8	Bologna	11	6	10	39
9	Sassuolo	11	5	11	38
10	Udinese	10	5	12	35
11	Lazio	8	10	9	34
12	Parma	8	9	10	33
13	Cagliari	7	9	11	30
14	Torino	8	6	13	30
15	Genoa	6	9	12	27
16	Fiorentina	5	9	13	24
17	Cremonese	5	9	13	24
18	Lecce	6	6	15	24
19	AC Pisa	1	12	14	15
20	Verona	2	9	16	15

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
L. Martínez	INT	ARG	25	14	4
A. Douvikas	COM	GRE	27	9	1
N. Paz	COM	ARG	26	9	6
R. Højlund	NAP	DEN	23	9	2

ACF Fiorentina VS AC Milan

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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