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Round 20 - Serie A

ACF Fiorentina VS AC Milan

Stadio Artemio Franchi

11 January, 2026

Overview:

Serie A Round 20 fixture between Fiorentina (home) and AC Milan (away) at Stadio Artemio Franchi on January 11, 2026. Milan currently holds 2nd position while Fiorentina ranks 18th, indicating a significant quality gap despite Fiorentina's home advantage.

Recent H2H results: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan (14-12-25)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of AC Milan.
Milan's superior possession and shot creation should dominate proceedings. Fiorentina likely to employ defensive compactness and counter-attacking approach. Pulisic and Leão's pace creates significant tactical advantages for Milan. Fiorentina's injury concerns (Lamprey, Dzeko both doubtful) further limit attacking options. Milan's pressing and transitions should exploit Fiorentina's limited midfield creativity.
League position gap (2nd vs 18th), recent head-to-head result (2-1 to Milan), superior attacking personnel, possession dominance pattern, and Fiorentina's recent poor form all strongly favor Milan. Home advantage provides minimal offset given quality differential.

Stats:

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
Expected Possession
44.67 55.33
Average Goals Per Match
1.4 2.8
Win Probability
0.18 0.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Inter 14 1 4 43
2 Milan 11 7 1 40
3 Napoli 12 3 4 39
4 Roma 13 0 7 39
5 Juventus 10 6 3 36
6 Como 1907 9 7 3 34
7 Atalanta 8 7 5 31
8 Lazio 7 7 6 28
9 Bologna 7 6 6 27
10 Udinese 7 5 8 26
11 Sassuolo 6 5 9 23
12 Torino 6 5 9 23
13 Cremonese 5 7 7 22
14 Parma 5 6 8 21
15 Cagliari 4 7 8 19
16 Lecce 4 5 10 17
17 Genoa 3 7 9 16
18 Fiorentina 2 8 10 14
19 AC Pisa 1 10 9 13
20 Verona 2 7 10 13
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
L. Martínez INT ARG 19 10 4
C. Pulisic MIL USA 14 8 2
H. Çalhanoğlu INT TUR 17 7 2
R. Leão MIL POR 13 7 1

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