Round 23 - Ligue 1
Toulouse FC VS Paris FC
Stadium de Toulouse
21 February, 2026
Overview:
Toulouse FC hosts Paris FC in Ligue 1 Round 23 on February 21, 2026. Toulouse ranks 10th with 30 points, while Paris FC sits 15th with 22 points. This is a crucial match for both teams, with Toulouse looking to consolidate a mid-table position and Paris FC attempting to escape the relegation zone.
Recent H2H results: Toulouse 2-1 Le Havre (15 Feb); Paris FC 0-5 Lens (14 Feb)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Toulouse FC.
Toulouse's home advantage and superior league position suggest they will likely dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Paris FC's recent catastrophic loss to Lens indicates potential morale and tactical issues, though they may attempt defensive organization. The significant gap in current form and table position favors Toulouse establishing control of the match.
Toulouse's home status, better current form, superior league positioning, and Paris FC's severe recent deterioration create a heavily asymmetric matchup. Historical data shows Toulouse scored over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 meetings against Paris FC. Paris FC's defending remains vulnerable despite higher possession rates. These factors strongly favor a Toulouse victory.
Last Update: 20-02-2026
Stats:
| Toulouse FC | Paris FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 41.8 | 58.2 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.68 | 0.14 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 17 | 3 | 3 | 54 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 17 | 1 | 5 | 52 |
| 3 | Olympique Lyon | 14 | 3 | 6 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers SCO | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 6 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 5 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 23 | 14 | 5 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 23 | 13 | 1 |
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 23 | 12 | 3 |
| W. Saïd | RCL | FRA | 22 | 10 | 2 |
