Overview:

Toulouse FC hosts Paris FC in Ligue 1 Round 23 on February 21, 2026. Toulouse ranks 10th with 30 points, while Paris FC sits 15th with 22 points. This is a crucial match for both teams, with Toulouse looking to consolidate a mid-table position and Paris FC attempting to escape the relegation zone.

Recent H2H results: Toulouse 2-1 Le Havre (15 Feb); Paris FC 0-5 Lens (14 Feb)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Toulouse FC.
Toulouse's home advantage and superior league position suggest they will likely dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Paris FC's recent catastrophic loss to Lens indicates potential morale and tactical issues, though they may attempt defensive organization. The significant gap in current form and table position favors Toulouse establishing control of the match.
Toulouse's home status, better current form, superior league positioning, and Paris FC's severe recent deterioration create a heavily asymmetric matchup. Historical data shows Toulouse scored over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 meetings against Paris FC. Paris FC's defending remains vulnerable despite higher possession rates. These factors strongly favor a Toulouse victory.

Last Update: 20-02-2026

Stats:

Toulouse FC	Paris FC
Expected Possession
41.8	58.2
Average Goals Per Match
1.5	1.2
Win Probability
0.68	0.14

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	PSG	24	4	6	76
2	RC Lens	22	4	8	70
3	Lille	18	7	9	61
4	Olympique Lyon	18	6	10	60
5	Marseille	18	5	11	59
6	Stade Rennais	17	8	9	59
7	Monaco	16	6	12	54
8	Strasbourg	15	8	11	53
9	Lorient	11	12	11	45
10	Toulouse	12	8	13	44
11	Paris FC	11	11	12	44
12	Brest	10	9	15	39
13	Angers SCO	9	9	16	36
14	Le Havre	7	14	13	35
15	Auxerre	8	10	16	34
16	Nice	7	11	16	32
17	Nantes	5	8	20	23
18	FC Metz	3	8	23	17

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
E. Lepaul	REN	FRA	34	21	5
J. Panichelli	RC	ARG	27	16	1
M. Greenwood	MAR	ENG	33	16	8
L. Sinayoko	AJA	MAL	32	13	4

Toulouse FC VS Paris FC

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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