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Round 23 - Ligue 1

Toulouse FC VS Paris FC

Stadium de Toulouse

21 February, 2026

Overview:

Toulouse FC hosts Paris FC in Ligue 1 Round 23 on February 21, 2026. Toulouse ranks 10th with 30 points, while Paris FC sits 15th with 22 points. This is a crucial match for both teams, with Toulouse looking to consolidate a mid-table position and Paris FC attempting to escape the relegation zone.

Recent H2H results: Toulouse 2-1 Le Havre (15 Feb); Paris FC 0-5 Lens (14 Feb)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Toulouse FC.
Toulouse's home advantage and superior league position suggest they will likely dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Paris FC's recent catastrophic loss to Lens indicates potential morale and tactical issues, though they may attempt defensive organization. The significant gap in current form and table position favors Toulouse establishing control of the match.
Toulouse's home status, better current form, superior league positioning, and Paris FC's severe recent deterioration create a heavily asymmetric matchup. Historical data shows Toulouse scored over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 meetings against Paris FC. Paris FC's defending remains vulnerable despite higher possession rates. These factors strongly favor a Toulouse victory.

Last Update: 20-02-2026

Stats:

Toulouse FC Paris FC
Expected Possession
41.8 58.2
Average Goals Per Match
1.5 1.2
Win Probability
0.68 0.14
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 20 3 4 63
2 RC Lens 19 2 7 59
3 Lille 16 5 8 53
4 Marseille 16 4 9 52
5 Olympique Lyon 15 6 8 51
6 Stade Rennais 14 8 7 50
7 Monaco 15 4 10 49
8 Strasbourg 12 7 9 43
9 Lorient 9 11 9 38
10 Toulouse 10 7 12 37
11 Brest 10 6 12 36
12 Paris FC 8 11 10 35
13 Angers SCO 9 6 14 33
14 Le Havre 6 11 12 29
15 Nice 7 7 15 28
16 Auxerre 5 9 15 24
17 Nantes 4 7 17 19
18 FC Metz 3 6 20 15
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
E. Lepaul REN FRA 29 16 3
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 28 15 7
O. Edouard RCL FRA 24 12 3

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