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Round 23 - Ligue 1

OGC Nice VS FC Lorient

Allianz Riviera

22 February, 2026

Overview:

OGC Nice (home) vs FC Lorient (away) in Ligue 1 Round 23. Based on historical head-to-head data, Nice holds a significant advantage with 11 wins compared to Lorient's 7 wins in 26 meetings, with 8 draws.

Recent H2H results: 1-1 draw on August 20, 2023

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of OGC Nice.
Nice's possession-dominant approach (59.6 percent) versus Lorient's counter-attacking setup suggests Nice should control tempo. Lorient's defensive organization will be critical to limiting Nice's attacking opportunities from wide areas.
Nice's historical dominance in head-to-head records (42.3 percent win rate versus Lorient's 26.9 percent), combined with superior possession and goal-scoring metrics, provides a strong foundation for prediction. Home advantage further supports Nice's likelihood of victory.

Stats:

OGC Nice FC Lorient
Expected Possession
59.6 40.4
Average Goals Per Match
1.54 1.19
Win Probability
0.62 0.16
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 RC Lens 13 1 3 40
2 PSG 12 3 2 39
3 Marseille 10 2 5 32
4 Lille 10 2 5 32
5 Olympique Lyon 9 3 5 30
6 Stade Rennais 8 6 3 30
7 Strasbourg 7 3 7 24
8 Toulouse 6 5 6 23
9 Monaco 7 2 8 23
10 Angers SCO 6 4 7 22
11 Brest 6 4 7 22
12 Lorient 4 7 6 19
13 Le Havre 4 6 7 18
14 Nice 5 3 9 18
15 Paris FC 4 4 9 16
16 Nantes 3 5 9 14
17 Auxerre 3 3 11 12
18 FC Metz 3 3 11 12
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 17 11 4
J. Panichelli RC ARG 17 10 N/A
E. Lepaul REN FRA 17 9 3
W. Saïd RCL FRA 17 7 2

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