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Round 24 - Ligue 1

Lille OSC VS FC Nantes

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

1 March, 2026

Overview:

Lille OSC (4th place) hosts FC Nantes (17th place) in Ligue 1 Round 24. Lille dominates the historical h2h record with 17-2 wins over Nantes in recent meetings, with a goal differential of 51:18. This matchup heavily favors the home side based on current league positions and head-to-head dynamics.

Recent H2H results: Lille 1-1 Nantes (04.01.2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Lille OSC.
Lille's possession dominance and free-kick conversion ability will likely overwhelm Nantes' defensive structure. Nantes' inability to score consistently and poor away record (1 away win in last 5) suggest they will struggle to create sustained pressure. Lille's 5 clean sheets versus Nantes' 2 indicates significant tactical advantage.
Historical dominance (21 wins in 35 meetings), current league position gap (4th vs 17th), superior goal differential, and Nantes' poor form significantly favor Lille. The only recent draw (04.01.2025) suggests Nantes can occasionally contain Lille, but consistency favors the home side.

Stats:

Lille OSC FC Nantes
Expected Possession
62.5 37.5
Average Goals Per Match
2.06 0.88
Win Probability
0.72 0.1
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 RC Lens 13 1 3 40
2 PSG 12 3 2 39
3 Marseille 10 2 5 32
4 Lille 10 2 5 32
5 Olympique Lyon 9 3 5 30
6 Stade Rennais 8 6 3 30
7 Strasbourg 7 3 7 24
8 Toulouse 6 5 6 23
9 Monaco 7 2 8 23
10 Angers SCO 6 4 7 22
11 Brest 6 4 7 22
12 Lorient 4 7 6 19
13 Le Havre 4 6 7 18
14 Nice 5 3 9 18
15 Paris FC 4 4 9 16
16 Nantes 3 5 9 14
17 Auxerre 3 3 11 12
18 FC Metz 3 3 11 12
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 17 11 4
J. Panichelli RC ARG 17 10 N/A
E. Lepaul REN FRA 17 9 3
W. Saïd RCL FRA 17 7 2

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