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Round 24 - Ligue 1

Stade Rennais VS Toulouse FC

Roazhon Park

1 March, 2026

Overview:

Ligue 1 Round 24 fixture between Stade Rennais (home) and Toulouse FC (away). Historical head-to-head shows Rennes with slight advantage (18 wins vs 14 for Toulouse in 41 meetings). Recent form indicates competitive encounter with both teams showing inconsistent results.

Recent H2H results: Toulouse 2-1 Rennes (May 3, 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Stade Rennais.
Both teams maintain 48% possession balance. Rennes should leverage superior goal-scoring form and home advantage, while Toulouse will rely on defensive organization and aerial strength. Rennes' ability to score in both halves contrasts with Toulouse's defensive discipline.
Home advantage combined with Rennes' superior attacking statistics (1.75 vs 1.35 goals per game) suggests moderate home team advantage. However, recent head-to-head result (Toulouse 2-1 win) and Toulouse's defensive resilience provide counterbalance. Historical record slightly favors Rennes (18 wins vs 14).

Stats:

Stade Rennais Toulouse FC
Expected Possession
0.48 0.48
Average Goals Per Match
1.75 1.35
Win Probability
0.52 0.2
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 RC Lens 13 1 3 40
2 PSG 12 3 2 39
3 Marseille 10 2 5 32
4 Lille 10 2 5 32
5 Olympique Lyon 9 3 5 30
6 Stade Rennais 8 6 3 30
7 Strasbourg 7 3 7 24
8 Toulouse 6 5 6 23
9 Monaco 7 2 8 23
10 Angers SCO 6 4 7 22
11 Brest 6 4 7 22
12 Lorient 4 7 6 19
13 Le Havre 4 6 7 18
14 Nice 5 3 9 18
15 Paris FC 4 4 9 16
16 Nantes 3 5 9 14
17 Auxerre 3 3 11 12
18 FC Metz 3 3 11 12
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 17 11 4
J. Panichelli RC ARG 17 10 N/A
E. Lepaul REN FRA 17 9 3
W. Saïd RCL FRA 17 7 2

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