Round 20 - Serie A
Atalanta VS Torino FC
Gewiss Stadium
11 January, 2026
Overview:
Atalanta host Torino in Serie A Round 20 in a balanced but slightly home-favored matchup, with Atalanta’s attacking edge at home tested by Torino’s recent solid form and defensive structure.
Recent H2H results: Atalanta vs Torino recent H2H: slight Atalanta edge, high-scoring trend historically.
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Atalanta.
Atalanta are likely to dominate territory and possession with an aggressive, high-energy 3-4-2-1 or similar shape, using wing-backs to pin Torino deep and overload wide areas. Torino should prioritize a compact mid-to-low block, looking to break through fast transitions and target Atalanta’s high defensive line with direct balls into forwards and late runs from midfield. Set pieces at both ends could be decisive in what may be a tight scoreline game.
Atalanta’s slightly superior attacking metrics, home advantage, and historical edge in head-to-head meetings tilt the prediction marginally in their favor, but Torino’s recent unbeaten form and defensive solidity keep the probabilities relatively close, suggesting a narrow home win is more likely than a draw or away victory.
Stats:
| Atalanta | Torino FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 55 | 45 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.5 | 0.23 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 |
| 2 | Milan | 11 | 7 | 1 | 40 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | Juventus | 10 | 6 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Como 1907 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 7 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Lazio | 7 | 7 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Bologna | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | Udinese | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 16 | Lecce | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| 19 | AC Pisa | 1 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 20 | Verona | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Martínez | INT | ARG | 19 | 10 | 4 |
| C. Pulisic | MIL | USA | 14 | 8 | 2 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | INT | TUR | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| R. Leão | MIL | POR | 13 | 7 | 1 |