Round 20 - Serie A
Genoa CFC VS Cagliari Calcio
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
12 January, 2026
Overview:
Genoa host Cagliari in a tight Serie A clash between two lower-half sides, with Genoa slightly favored at home given marginally better recent form and historical edge in head-to-head meetings.
Recent H2H results: Recent H2H slightly favors Genoa with more wins
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of Genoa CFC.
Genoa are likely to prioritize territory and structured possession, using wide areas and set pieces, while Cagliari sit slightly deeper, look for transitions, and attempt to exploit space behind Genoa’s full-backs.
Genoa’s home advantage, marginally stronger recent form, and historical H2H edge tilt probabilities slightly in their favor, but Cagliari’s counterattacking threat keeps the draw and low-score scenarios highly live.
Stats:
| Genoa CFC | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 52.5 | 47.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.25 | 1.1 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.42 | 0.27 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 |
| 2 | Milan | 11 | 7 | 1 | 40 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | Juventus | 10 | 6 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Como 1907 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 7 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Lazio | 7 | 7 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Bologna | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | Udinese | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 16 | Lecce | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| 19 | AC Pisa | 1 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 20 | Verona | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Martínez | INT | ARG | 19 | 10 | 4 |
| C. Pulisic | MIL | USA | 14 | 8 | 2 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | INT | TUR | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| R. Leão | MIL | POR | 13 | 7 | 1 |