Overview:

Genoa host Cagliari in a tight Serie A clash between two lower-half sides, with Genoa slightly favored at home given marginally better recent form and historical edge in head-to-head meetings.

Recent H2H results: Recent H2H slightly favors Genoa with more wins

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of Genoa CFC.
Genoa are likely to prioritize territory and structured possession, using wide areas and set pieces, while Cagliari sit slightly deeper, look for transitions, and attempt to exploit space behind Genoa’s full-backs.
Genoa’s home advantage, marginally stronger recent form, and historical H2H edge tilt probabilities slightly in their favor, but Cagliari’s counterattacking threat keeps the draw and low-score scenarios highly live.

Last Update: 09-01-2026

Stats:

Genoa CFC	Cagliari Calcio
Expected Possession
52.5	47.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.25	1.1
Win Probability
0.42	0.27

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Inter	27	6	5	87
2	Napoli	23	7	8	76
3	Roma	23	4	11	73
4	Como 1907	20	11	7	71
5	Milan	20	10	8	70
6	Juventus	19	12	7	69
7	Atalanta	15	14	9	59
8	Bologna	16	8	14	56
9	Lazio	14	12	12	54
10	Udinese	14	8	16	50
11	Sassuolo	14	7	17	49
12	Torino	12	9	17	45
13	Parma	11	12	15	45
14	Cagliari	11	10	17	43
15	Fiorentina	9	15	14	42
16	Genoa	10	11	17	41
17	Lecce	10	8	20	38
18	Cremonese	8	10	20	34
19	Verona	3	12	23	21
20	AC Pisa	2	12	24	18

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
L. Martínez	INT	ARG	33	17	6
A. Douvikas	COM	GRE	38	14	1
D. Malen	ROM	NET	18	14	2
M. Thuram-Ulien	INT	FRA	31	13	6

Genoa CFC VS Cagliari Calcio

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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