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Round 20 - Serie A

Genoa CFC VS Cagliari Calcio

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

12 January, 2026

Overview:

Genoa host Cagliari in a tight Serie A clash between two lower-half sides, with Genoa slightly favored at home given marginally better recent form and historical edge in head-to-head meetings.

Recent H2H results: Recent H2H slightly favors Genoa with more wins

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of Genoa CFC.
Genoa are likely to prioritize territory and structured possession, using wide areas and set pieces, while Cagliari sit slightly deeper, look for transitions, and attempt to exploit space behind Genoa’s full-backs.
Genoa’s home advantage, marginally stronger recent form, and historical H2H edge tilt probabilities slightly in their favor, but Cagliari’s counterattacking threat keeps the draw and low-score scenarios highly live.

Last Update: 09-01-2026

Stats:

Genoa CFC Cagliari Calcio
Expected Possession
52.5 47.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.25 1.1
Win Probability
0.42 0.27
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Inter 22 1 4 67
2 Milan 16 9 2 57
3 Napoli 16 5 6 53
4 Roma 16 3 8 51
5 Como 1907 13 9 5 48
6 Juventus 13 8 6 47
7 Atalanta 12 9 6 45
8 Bologna 11 6 10 39
9 Sassuolo 11 5 11 38
10 Udinese 10 5 12 35
11 Lazio 8 10 9 34
12 Parma 8 9 10 33
13 Cagliari 7 9 11 30
14 Torino 8 6 13 30
15 Genoa 6 9 12 27
16 Fiorentina 5 9 13 24
17 Cremonese 5 9 13 24
18 Lecce 6 6 15 24
19 AC Pisa 1 12 14 15
20 Verona 2 9 16 15
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
L. Martínez INT ARG 25 14 4
A. Douvikas COM GRE 27 9 1
N. Paz COM ARG 26 9 6
R. Højlund NAP DEN 23 9 2

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