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Round 27 - Ligue 1

AJ Auxerre VS Stade Brestois 29

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

21 March, 2026

Overview:

AJ Auxerre (16th, 19 pts) hosts Stade Brestois 29 (10th, 36 pts) in Ligue 1 Round 27 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps on March 21, 2026. Brest holds a significant advantage in league position and recent form, while Auxerre aims to avoid a season series sweep.

Recent H2H results: Brest 2-0 Auxerre (Jan 4, 2026)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 0-2 in favor of Stade Brestois 29.
Auxerre will likely employ defensive structure to limit Brest's attacking opportunities, particularly targeting Del Castillo. Brest's superior positioning and recent dominance suggest they will control possession and utilize width. Auxerre's home advantage provides psychological support but faces tactical disadvantage due to quality gap. Set pieces may be critical for Auxerre given their weaker open play performance.
Historical H2H data shows Brest winning 45% of meetings versus Auxerre's 18%, with recent 2-0 victory demonstrating dominance. Current form differential is substantial: Brest's 10-6-10 record versus Auxerre's 4-7-15 record indicates clear quality separation. League positions (10th vs 16th) corroborate performance gap. Home advantage provides marginal mitigation for Auxerre but insufficient to overcome form and quality disparity.

Last Update: 19-03-2026

Stats:

AJ Auxerre Stade Brestois 29
Expected Possession
42.5 57.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.31 1.54
Win Probability
0.28 0.5
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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