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Round 27 - Ligue 1

AJ Auxerre VS Stade Brestois 29

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

21 March, 2026

Overview:

AJ Auxerre (16th, 19 pts) hosts Stade Brestois 29 (10th, 36 pts) in Ligue 1 Round 27 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps on March 21, 2026. Brest holds a significant advantage in league position and recent form, while Auxerre aims to avoid a season series sweep.

Recent H2H results: Brest 2-0 Auxerre (Jan 4, 2026)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 0-2 in favor of Stade Brestois 29.
Auxerre will likely employ defensive structure to limit Brest's attacking opportunities, particularly targeting Del Castillo. Brest's superior positioning and recent dominance suggest they will control possession and utilize width. Auxerre's home advantage provides psychological support but faces tactical disadvantage due to quality gap. Set pieces may be critical for Auxerre given their weaker open play performance.
Historical H2H data shows Brest winning 45% of meetings versus Auxerre's 18%, with recent 2-0 victory demonstrating dominance. Current form differential is substantial: Brest's 10-6-10 record versus Auxerre's 4-7-15 record indicates clear quality separation. League positions (10th vs 16th) corroborate performance gap. Home advantage provides marginal mitigation for Auxerre but insufficient to overcome form and quality disparity.

Last Update: 19-03-2026

Stats:

AJ Auxerre Stade Brestois 29
Expected Possession
42.5 57.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.31 1.54
Win Probability
0.28 0.5
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 20 3 4 63
2 RC Lens 19 2 7 59
3 Lille 16 5 8 53
4 Marseille 16 4 9 52
5 Olympique Lyon 15 6 8 51
6 Stade Rennais 14 8 7 50
7 Monaco 15 4 10 49
8 Strasbourg 12 7 9 43
9 Lorient 9 11 9 38
10 Toulouse 10 7 12 37
11 Brest 10 6 12 36
12 Paris FC 8 11 10 35
13 Angers SCO 9 6 14 33
14 Le Havre 6 11 12 29
15 Nice 7 7 15 28
16 Auxerre 5 9 15 24
17 Nantes 4 7 17 19
18 FC Metz 3 6 20 15
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
E. Lepaul REN FRA 29 16 3
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 28 15 7
O. Edouard RCL FRA 24 12 3

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