Round 28 - Ligue 1
AS Monaco VS Olympique de Marseille
Stade Louis II
5 April, 2026
Overview:
AS Monaco hosts Olympique de Marseille in Ligue 1 Round 28. Monaco currently sits 9th with 23 points from 16 matches, while Marseille ranks 3rd with 32 points. The match takes place at Stade Louis II. Marseille has superior league position and recent form, having beaten Monaco 1-0 on December 14, 2025, and 3-0 on April 12, 2025.
Recent H2H results: Marseille 3-0 Monaco (12 Apr 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Olympique de Marseille.
Marseille's superior ball possession statistics (58% vs 42%) combined with higher expected goals output suggests dominance in midfield control. Monaco's defensive vulnerabilities (1.69 goals allowed average) present clear attacking opportunities for Marseille's efficient forward line. Marseille's recent tactical success against Monaco (consecutive victories) indicates effective strategic preparation. Home advantage provides Monaco with set-piece opportunities but insufficient to overcome form and quality differential.
Marseille's third-place league position, superior goal-scoring average, recent psychological momentum from back-to-back wins over Monaco, and defensive solidity significantly favor the away team. Monaco's negative goal differential, defensive inconsistency, and poor recent h2h results against this opponent provide minimal counter-narrative. League standings and current form metrics decisively support away victory.
Last Update: 18-02-2026
Stats:
| AS Monaco | Olympique de Marseille |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 0.42 | 0.58 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.63 | 2.25 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.28 | 0.54 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 17 | 3 | 3 | 54 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 17 | 1 | 5 | 52 |
| 3 | Olympique Lyon | 14 | 3 | 6 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers SCO | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 6 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 5 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 23 | 14 | 5 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 23 | 13 | 1 |
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 23 | 12 | 3 |
| W. Saïd | RCL | FRA | 22 | 10 | 2 |
