Round 28 - Ligue 1
FC Lorient VS Paris FC
Stade Yves Allainmat - du Moustoir
5 April, 2026
Overview:
FC Lorient hosts Paris FC in Ligue 1 Matchday 28. Lorient, currently in 1st place with 54 points from 28 matches, faces struggling Paris FC in 17th place with 28 points. This is a significant gap in quality and form between the two sides.
Recent H2H results: Lorient 2-0 Paris FC (Feb 4, 2026, Coupe de France)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Lorient.
Lorient's 3-4-2-1 formation proved effective against Paris FC's 4-2-3-1 in their recent cup meeting. Lorient's dominance in duels (57.7% success) and ground duels (58.3% success) suggests superiority in midfield control. Paris FC's vulnerability to high-pressing attacks and inability to maintain possession against superior teams indicates tactical mismatch. Lorient's home advantage combined with Paris FC's away record weakness creates significant tactical advantage for the hosts.
The 26-point league gap between 1st and 17th place reflects fundamental quality difference. Lorient's recent 2-0 cup victory over identical opponent provides direct precedent. Paris FC's defensive fragility (40 goals conceded in 28 matches) will struggle against Lorient's attack ranked 1st with 45 goals. Home advantage amplifies Lorient's superiority. Recent form shows Lorient winning 3 of last 5 matches while Paris FC remains inconsistent.
Last Update: 18-02-2026
Stats:
| FC Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 48.2 | 51.8 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.61 | 0.79 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.78 | 0.1 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 17 | 3 | 3 | 54 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 17 | 1 | 5 | 52 |
| 3 | Olympique Lyon | 14 | 3 | 6 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers SCO | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 6 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 5 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 23 | 14 | 5 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 23 | 13 | 1 |
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 23 | 12 | 3 |
| W. Saïd | RCL | FRA | 22 | 10 | 2 |
