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Round 28 - Ligue 1

FC Lorient VS Paris FC

Stade Yves Allainmat - du Moustoir

5 April, 2026

Overview:

Ligue 1 matchday 28 fixture between leaders FC Lorient and struggling Paris FC at Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir. Lorient sits first with 54 points from 28 matches, while Paris FC languishes in 17th with 28 points. Recent head-to-head favors Lorient significantly.

Recent H2H results: Lorient 2-0 Paris FC (Feb 4, 2026)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Lorient.
Lorient's possession dominance and clinical finishing will likely overwhelm Paris FC's depleted defensive structure. Paris FC's defensive-minded approach with 50% draw rate may provide limited resistance against Lorient's attacking prowess. Home advantage and psychological factor of recent 2-0 victory critical.
Lorient's league-leading position, superior form, dominant head-to-head record, and strong home statistics heavily favor the hosts. Paris FC's poor form and defensive vulnerabilities significantly diminish away win probability. Match outcome heavily weighted toward home victory.

Last Update: 30-03-2026

Stats:

FC Lorient Paris FC
Expected Possession
58.5 41.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.61 0.73
Win Probability
0.78 0.08
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 20 3 4 63
2 RC Lens 19 2 7 59
3 Lille 16 5 8 53
4 Marseille 16 4 9 52
5 Olympique Lyon 15 6 8 51
6 Stade Rennais 14 8 7 50
7 Monaco 15 4 10 49
8 Strasbourg 12 7 9 43
9 Lorient 9 11 9 38
10 Toulouse 10 7 12 37
11 Brest 10 6 12 36
12 Paris FC 8 11 10 35
13 Angers SCO 9 6 14 33
14 Le Havre 6 11 12 29
15 Nice 7 7 15 28
16 Auxerre 5 9 15 24
17 Nantes 4 7 17 19
18 FC Metz 3 6 20 15
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
E. Lepaul REN FRA 29 16 3
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 28 15 7
O. Edouard RCL FRA 24 12 3

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