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Round 28 - Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain VS Toulouse FC

Parc des Princes

5 April, 2026

Overview:

Paris Saint-Germain hosts Toulouse FC in Ligue 1 Matchday 28. PSG, currently 2nd in the standings with 51 points from 22 matches, faces 21st-placed Toulouse who have accumulated 21 points from 21 matches. This represents a significant quality gap between the two sides.

Recent H2H results: PSG 6-3 Toulouse (April 5, 2026)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 4-1 in favor of Paris Saint-Germain.
PSG's possession-dominant approach will likely overwhelm Toulouse's defensive setup. PSG averaged 76% possession in the previous encounter while Toulouse managed only 24%. PSG's attacking midfielders should exploit wide areas against Toulouse's vulnerable defense. Toulouse may attempt to stay compact and exploit counter-attacking opportunities but face significant tactical disadvantage.
The substantial gap in league position, recent form, and historical head-to-head record strongly favor PSG. PSG's 2nd place standing versus Toulouse's 21st place, combined with PSG's 49 goals scored versus Toulouse's 45 for the season, creates overwhelming predictive factors favoring the home team. PSG's recent 6-3 victory over this opponent demonstrates their capacity for dominant performances.

Last Update: 18-02-2026

Stats:

Paris Saint-Germain Toulouse FC
Expected Possession
0.76 0.24
Average Goals Per Match
2.23 1
Win Probability
0.82 0.06
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 17 3 3 54
2 RC Lens 17 1 5 52
3 Olympique Lyon 14 3 6 45
4 Marseille 12 4 7 40
5 Lille 11 4 8 37
6 Stade Rennais 10 7 6 37
7 Strasbourg 10 4 9 34
8 Monaco 10 4 9 34
9 Lorient 8 8 7 32
10 Toulouse 8 7 8 31
11 Brest 8 6 9 30
12 Angers SCO 8 5 10 29
13 Le Havre 6 8 9 26
14 Nice 6 6 11 24
15 Paris FC 5 8 10 23
16 Auxerre 4 5 14 17
17 Nantes 4 5 14 17
18 FC Metz 3 4 16 13
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 23 14 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 23 13 1
E. Lepaul REN FRA 23 12 3
W. Saïd RCL FRA 22 10 2

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