Round 29 - Ligue 1
AJ Auxerre VS FC Nantes
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
11 April, 2026
Overview:
Ligue 1 Round 29 clash between 16th-placed AJ Auxerre (home) and 17th-placed FC Nantes (away) on April 11, 2026. Both teams are in poor form with Auxerre having failed to win 17 of their last 20 matches and Nantes losing 8 of their last 10 matches[6]. The match features two struggling defensive sides with combined defensive vulnerabilities.
Recent H2H results: Auxerre 1-0 Nantes (H2H this season: 1 match played)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of AJ Auxerre.
Both teams employ defensive approaches with low expected goal outputs. Auxerre's home advantage and superior defensive metrics suggest containment strategies. Nantes' poor away form and defensive frailty indicate vulnerability. Match likely to feature cautious play with limited attacking intent given both teams' recent performance trajectories.
Auxerre's home advantage, superior clean sheet record (7 vs 5), better defensive rating (+14%)[1], and predictive algorithm preference (44% win probability) offset their poor recent form. Nantes' abysmal away record (1W-1D-3L) and defensive concessions (1.8 per game) significantly weaken their prospects. Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities suggest low-scoring outcome despite moderate goal-scoring opportunities.
Last Update: 10-04-2026
Stats:
| AJ Auxerre | FC Nantes |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 48.5 | 51.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.07 | 1.2 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.44 | 0.24 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 20 | 3 | 4 | 63 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 19 | 2 | 7 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 16 | 5 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 16 | 4 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyon | 15 | 6 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 14 | 8 | 7 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 12 | 7 | 9 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 8 | 11 | 10 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers SCO | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 6 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 5 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 4 | 7 | 17 | 19 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 6 | 20 | 15 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 27 | 16 | 1 |
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 29 | 16 | 3 |
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 28 | 15 | 7 |
| O. Edouard | RCL | FRA | 24 | 12 | 3 |
