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Round 32 - Ligue 1

OGC Nice VS RC Lens

Allianz Riviera

3 May, 2026

Overview:

Ligue 1 Matchday 32 fixture between OGC Nice (home) and RC Lens (away). Lens leads the league with 52 points from 22 matches, while Nice sits 14th with 23 points from 22 matches. This represents a significant quality gap with Lens demonstrating dominant form throughout the season.

Recent H2H results: RC Lens 2-0 OGC Nice (14 Dec 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of RC Lens.
Lens demonstrated 54% possession advantage in previous fixture with 15 total shots compared to Nice's 8. Nice's 4-3-3 formation provides width but defensive exposure against Lens's 3-4-3 attacking system. Lens's fullback width (Udol, Aguilar) exploits Nice's defensive gaps. Expect Lens to dominate territory and create higher quality chances through sustained pressure.
Lens's commanding league position, recent head-to-head victory, superior form trajectory, and defensive solidity strongly favor an away win. Nice's poor defending (40 GA in 22 matches) and inconsistent attack (23 points from 22 games) suggests vulnerability. The 29-point gap in standing differentials indicates quality separation.

Last Update: 11-03-2026

Stats:

OGC Nice RC Lens
Expected Possession
0.46 0.54
Average Goals Per Match
1.23 1.91
Win Probability
0.18 0.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 20 3 4 63
2 RC Lens 19 2 7 59
3 Lille 16 5 8 53
4 Marseille 16 4 9 52
5 Olympique Lyon 15 6 8 51
6 Stade Rennais 14 8 7 50
7 Monaco 15 4 10 49
8 Strasbourg 12 7 9 43
9 Lorient 9 11 9 38
10 Toulouse 10 7 12 37
11 Brest 10 6 12 36
12 Paris FC 8 11 10 35
13 Angers SCO 9 6 14 33
14 Le Havre 6 11 12 29
15 Nice 7 7 15 28
16 Auxerre 5 9 15 24
17 Nantes 4 7 17 19
18 FC Metz 3 6 20 15
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
E. Lepaul REN FRA 29 16 3
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 28 15 7
O. Edouard RCL FRA 24 12 3

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