Round 32 - Ligue 1
RC Strasbourg VS Toulouse FC
Stade de la Meinau
3 May, 2026
Overview:
RC Strasbourg (8th, 46 points) hosts Toulouse FC (10th, 38 points) in Ligue 1 Round 32 on May 3, 2026. Strasbourg enters as favorites based on superior league position, recent form, and head-to-head advantage.
Recent H2H results: Strasbourg won 2 previous matches this season; historically 7 wins, 2 losses, 4 draws in 13 meetings
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of RC Strasbourg.
Strasbourg's possession-dominant style should control midfield through superior passing completion rates. Toulouse likely employs compact defensive shape to counter Strasbourg's territorial advantage. Set pieces and aerial balls present tactical opportunities for Toulouse given their 8 headed goals scored this season. Strasbourg's counter-attacking tempo through Expected Threat metrics suggests vulnerability to quick transitions.
Strasbourg's league position advantage, superior Expected Threat metrics, recent winning streak, and dominant head-to-head record strongly favor a home victory. Toulouse's defensive solidity and lower defensive Expected Threat against provide limited but viable upset potential if they exploit counter-attacking opportunities and aerial threat.
Last Update: 30-04-2026
Stats:
| RC Strasbourg | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 58.5 | 41.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.64 | 1.39 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.62 | 0.16 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 4 | 6 | 76 |
| 2 | RC Lens | 22 | 4 | 8 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 4 | Olympique Lyon | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 18 | 5 | 11 | 59 |
| 6 | Stade Rennais | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 16 | 6 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers SCO | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 |
| 18 | FC Metz | 3 | 8 | 23 | 17 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lepaul | REN | FRA | 34 | 21 | 5 |
| J. Panichelli | RC | ARG | 27 | 16 | 1 |
| M. Greenwood | MAR | ENG | 33 | 16 | 8 |
| L. Sinayoko | AJA | MAL | 32 | 13 | 4 |