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Round 32 - Ligue 1

RC Strasbourg VS Toulouse FC

Stade de la Meinau

3 May, 2026

Overview:

RC Strasbourg (8th, 46 points) hosts Toulouse FC (10th, 38 points) in Ligue 1 Round 32 on May 3, 2026. Strasbourg enters as favorites based on superior league position, recent form, and head-to-head advantage.

Recent H2H results: Strasbourg won 2 previous matches this season; historically 7 wins, 2 losses, 4 draws in 13 meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of RC Strasbourg.
Strasbourg's possession-dominant style should control midfield through superior passing completion rates. Toulouse likely employs compact defensive shape to counter Strasbourg's territorial advantage. Set pieces and aerial balls present tactical opportunities for Toulouse given their 8 headed goals scored this season. Strasbourg's counter-attacking tempo through Expected Threat metrics suggests vulnerability to quick transitions.
Strasbourg's league position advantage, superior Expected Threat metrics, recent winning streak, and dominant head-to-head record strongly favor a home victory. Toulouse's defensive solidity and lower defensive Expected Threat against provide limited but viable upset potential if they exploit counter-attacking opportunities and aerial threat.

Last Update: 30-04-2026

Stats:

RC Strasbourg Toulouse FC
Expected Possession
58.5 41.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.64 1.39
Win Probability
0.62 0.16
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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