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Round 33 - Ligue 1

Havre AC VS Olympique de Marseille

Stade Océane

10 May, 2026

Overview:

Le Havre AC (14th, 29 GF, 42 GA) hosts Olympique de Marseille (7th, strong form) in Ligue 1 Round 33 at Stade Océane. Marseille dominates historical matchups with 6 consecutive wins against Le Havre, who have failed to score in recent encounters.

Recent H2H results: Marseille 6-2 Le Havre (18/10/2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 0-3 in favor of Olympique de Marseille.
Marseille's superior possession (74% vs 26%) will overwhelm Le Havre's defensive structure. Le Havre must deploy defensive solidarity and exploit limited counterattacking opportunities. Mason Greenwood's pace will target Le Havre's flanks. Marseille likely to control tempo throughout.
Marseille's perfect 9-0 historical record, current strong form with 19 victories in 34 games, and significant tactical superiority strongly favor an away victory. Le Havre's poor home form (11 losses in 16) and relegation-form statistics compound disadvantage. Expected goals differential (4.0 xG vs 0.49 in previous fixture) indicates dominant performance likely.

Last Update: 07-05-2026

Stats:

Havre AC Olympique de Marseille
Expected Possession
26 74
Average Goals Per Match
0.93 2.5
Win Probability
0.08 0.87
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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