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Round 20 - Serie A

US Lecce VS Parma Calcio 1913

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

11 January, 2026

Overview:

Lecce hosts Parma in Serie A Round 20 on January 11, 2026. Both teams are in the lower half of the table, with Lecce in 16th place and Parma in 15th. This is their second meeting of the season, with Lecce winning the first encounter 1-0 in October 2025.

Recent H2H results: Lecce 1-0 Parma (October 4, 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of Draw.
Lecce will likely employ a defensive approach leveraging home advantage and set-piece opportunities, while Parma will attempt to dominate possession and create chances through wider play via Valeri. Lecce's recent poor form may embolden Parma's possession-based approach, though Parma's inability to convert chances remains problematic.
Both teams' poor form creates unpredictability. Lecce's home record and previous 1-0 victory suggest psychological advantage, but their recent defensive frailties (0-2 to Roma, 0-3 to Como) indicate vulnerability to Parma's creative midfield. Parma's possession advantage historically translates to expected goals but not goals scored, limiting their scoring threat.

Stats:

US Lecce Parma Calcio 1913
Expected Possession
0.43 0.57
Average Goals Per Match
0.8 0.8
Win Probability
0.32 0.3
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Inter 14 1 4 43
2 Milan 11 7 1 40
3 Napoli 12 3 4 39
4 Roma 13 0 7 39
5 Juventus 10 6 3 36
6 Como 1907 9 7 3 34
7 Atalanta 8 7 5 31
8 Lazio 7 7 6 28
9 Bologna 7 6 6 27
10 Udinese 7 5 8 26
11 Sassuolo 6 5 9 23
12 Torino 6 5 9 23
13 Cremonese 5 7 7 22
14 Parma 5 6 8 21
15 Cagliari 4 7 8 19
16 Lecce 4 5 10 17
17 Genoa 3 7 9 16
18 Fiorentina 2 8 10 14
19 AC Pisa 1 10 9 13
20 Verona 2 7 10 13
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
L. Martínez INT ARG 19 10 4
C. Pulisic MIL USA 14 8 2
H. Çalhanoğlu INT TUR 17 7 2
R. Leão MIL POR 13 7 1

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