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Round 20 - Serie A

US Lecce VS Parma Calcio 1913

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

11 January, 2026

Overview:

Lecce hosts Parma in Serie A Round 20 on January 11, 2026. Both teams are in the lower half of the table, with Lecce in 16th place and Parma in 15th. This is their second meeting of the season, with Lecce winning the first encounter 1-0 in October 2025.

Recent H2H results: Lecce 1-0 Parma (October 4, 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of Draw.
Lecce will likely employ a defensive approach leveraging home advantage and set-piece opportunities, while Parma will attempt to dominate possession and create chances through wider play via Valeri. Lecce's recent poor form may embolden Parma's possession-based approach, though Parma's inability to convert chances remains problematic.
Both teams' poor form creates unpredictability. Lecce's home record and previous 1-0 victory suggest psychological advantage, but their recent defensive frailties (0-2 to Roma, 0-3 to Como) indicate vulnerability to Parma's creative midfield. Parma's possession advantage historically translates to expected goals but not goals scored, limiting their scoring threat.

Last Update: 09-01-2026

Stats:

US Lecce Parma Calcio 1913
Expected Possession
0.43 0.57
Average Goals Per Match
0.8 0.8
Win Probability
0.32 0.3
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Inter 27 6 5 87
2 Napoli 23 7 8 76
3 Roma 23 4 11 73
4 Como 1907 20 11 7 71
5 Milan 20 10 8 70
6 Juventus 19 12 7 69
7 Atalanta 15 14 9 59
8 Bologna 16 8 14 56
9 Lazio 14 12 12 54
10 Udinese 14 8 16 50
11 Sassuolo 14 7 17 49
12 Torino 12 9 17 45
13 Parma 11 12 15 45
14 Cagliari 11 10 17 43
15 Fiorentina 9 15 14 42
16 Genoa 10 11 17 41
17 Lecce 10 8 20 38
18 Cremonese 8 10 20 34
19 Verona 3 12 23 21
20 AC Pisa 2 12 24 18
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
L. Martínez INT ARG 33 17 6
A. Douvikas COM GRE 38 14 1
D. Malen ROM NET 18 14 2
M. Thuram-Ulien INT FRA 31 13 6

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