Round 20 - Serie A
US Lecce VS Parma Calcio 1913
Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
11 January, 2026
Overview:
Lecce hosts Parma in Serie A Round 20 on January 11, 2026. Both teams are in the lower half of the table, with Lecce in 16th place and Parma in 15th. This is their second meeting of the season, with Lecce winning the first encounter 1-0 in October 2025.
Recent H2H results: Lecce 1-0 Parma (October 4, 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of Draw.
Lecce will likely employ a defensive approach leveraging home advantage and set-piece opportunities, while Parma will attempt to dominate possession and create chances through wider play via Valeri. Lecce's recent poor form may embolden Parma's possession-based approach, though Parma's inability to convert chances remains problematic.
Both teams' poor form creates unpredictability. Lecce's home record and previous 1-0 victory suggest psychological advantage, but their recent defensive frailties (0-2 to Roma, 0-3 to Como) indicate vulnerability to Parma's creative midfield. Parma's possession advantage historically translates to expected goals but not goals scored, limiting their scoring threat.
Stats:
| US Lecce | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 0.43 | 0.57 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.32 | 0.3 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 |
| 2 | Milan | 11 | 7 | 1 | 40 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | Juventus | 10 | 6 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Como 1907 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 7 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Lazio | 7 | 7 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Bologna | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | Udinese | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 16 | Lecce | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| 19 | AC Pisa | 1 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 20 | Verona | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Martínez | INT | ARG | 19 | 10 | 4 |
| C. Pulisic | MIL | USA | 14 | 8 | 2 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | INT | TUR | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| R. Leão | MIL | POR | 13 | 7 | 1 |