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Round 33 - Ligue 1

FC Metz VS FC Lorient

Stade Saint-Symphorien

10 May, 2026

Overview:

FC Metz (18th place, 0.50 PPG) hosts FC Lorient (9th place, 1.31 PPG away) in Ligue 1 Round 33. Metz is in poor form with only 1 win in their last 8 away games and significant defensive vulnerabilities. Lorient shows mixed but stronger form with recent improvements.

Recent H2H results: Lorient 1-2 Metz (mixed recent results)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Lorient.
Metz will likely defend deep with counter-attacking opportunities given their poor form and defensive frailties. Lorient should dominate possession (57.5%) and exploit Metz's vulnerability to conceding (2.25 goals per match average). Both teams to score is highly likely given historical H2H shows 8 of 10 last matches with both teams scoring.
Metz's relegation-form defensive record (72 goals conceded) combined with Lorient's recent attacking momentum creates significant away win probability. Historical H2H favors Lorient (9 wins vs 5 for Metz in 18 meetings). Lorient's unbeaten run and Metz's inability to win at home recently strongly influences prediction toward Lorient victory.

Last Update: 07-05-2026

Stats:

FC Metz FC Lorient
Expected Possession
42.5 57.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.22 1.83
Win Probability
0.32 0.42
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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