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Round 34 - Ligue 1

FC Nantes VS Toulouse FC

Stade de la Beaujoire

17 May, 2026

Overview:

Ligue 1 Round 34 matchup between FC Nantes and Toulouse FC. Nantes are fighting near the relegation zone, while Toulouse sit mid-table with slightly better overall attacking output. Market and preview consensus points to a tight, low-scoring contest with a meaningful draw chance.

Recent H2H results: Toulouse edge recent meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 0-1 in favor of Toulouse FC.
Nantes are likely to sit deeper and seek counterattacks and set pieces, while Toulouse should have more possession and try to stretch the game wide. If Toulouse score first, Nantes may struggle to open up; if Nantes keep it level early, the match likely becomes tense and low scoring.
Historical balance and current form favor Toulouse slightly, but Nantes' home setting and the likelihood of a cautious tactical pattern increase draw probability. Under-goals profile is strong, making a narrow away win or draw the most probable outcomes.

Last Update: 15-05-2026

Stats:

FC Nantes Toulouse FC
Expected Possession
46.2 53.8
Average Goals Per Match
0.88 1.42
Win Probability
31.4 38.5
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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