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Round 34 - Ligue 1

OGC Nice VS FC Metz

Allianz Riviera

17 May, 2026

Overview:

Ligue 1 Round 34 at Allianz Riviera: Nice enter as the stronger side on paper and at home, while Metz arrive with poor overall form and a weak away record. Historical head-to-head leans slightly toward Nice, but recent results suggest a tighter match than the matchup history alone implies.

Recent H2H results: Metz 2-1 Nice

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of OGC Nice.
Expect Nice to dominate territory and possession, while Metz likely sit deeper and look for counterattacks or set pieces. The key factor is whether Nice can convert early pressure into a lead before Metz settle into a low block.
Nice's home advantage and superior attacking metrics make them slight favorites, but recent inconsistency lowers confidence and keeps draw risk meaningful. Metz's poor away form reduces upset probability, though a low-scoring game remains plausible.

Last Update: 15-05-2026

Stats:

OGC Nice FC Metz
Expected Possession
54.2 45.8
Average Goals Per Match
1.18 0.9
Win Probability
49 23
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 PSG 24 4 6 76
2 RC Lens 22 4 8 70
3 Lille 18 7 9 61
4 Olympique Lyon 18 6 10 60
5 Marseille 18 5 11 59
6 Stade Rennais 17 8 9 59
7 Monaco 16 6 12 54
8 Strasbourg 15 8 11 53
9 Lorient 11 12 11 45
10 Toulouse 12 8 13 44
11 Paris FC 11 11 12 44
12 Brest 10 9 15 39
13 Angers SCO 9 9 16 36
14 Le Havre 7 14 13 35
15 Auxerre 8 10 16 34
16 Nice 7 11 16 32
17 Nantes 5 8 20 23
18 FC Metz 3 8 23 17
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Lepaul REN FRA 34 21 5
J. Panichelli RC ARG 27 16 1
M. Greenwood MAR ENG 33 16 8
L. Sinayoko AJA MAL 32 13 4

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