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Round 12 - Bundesliga

Hamburger SV VS VfB Stuttgart

Volksparkstadion

30 November, 2025

Overview:

Hamburger SV (14th, 9 GF, 10 GA) hosts VfB Stuttgart (5th, 20 GF, 10 GA) in Bundesliga Round 12. Stuttgart holds significant league position advantage with superior goal-scoring record. Teams last met in March 2018 (1-1 draw). Stuttgart leads historical H2H with 13 wins vs Hamburg''s 7 wins and 2 draws.

Recent H2H results: 1-1 draw (March 2018)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of VfB Stuttgart.
Stuttgart's superior possession and goal-scoring average suggest dominant ball control strategy. Hamburg likely to employ defensive approach protecting against Stuttgart's attacking prowess. Stuttgart's through-ball effectiveness ('very likely' to score from through balls) versus Hamburg's high offside frequency creates tactical mismatch. Stuttgart should control midfield tempo.
Stuttgart's 11-goal scoring advantage and league position superiority heavily favor away victory. Hamburg's poor form (1 win in last 5 games) contrasts sharply with Stuttgart's consistency. Historical H2H advantage to Stuttgart combined with current form disparity indicates clear favorite. Over 2.5 goals probability very high based on recent patterns.

Last Update: 28-11-2025

Stats:

Hamburger SV VfB Stuttgart
Expected Possession
0.42 0.58
Average Goals Per Match
0.82 1.82
Win Probability
0.22 0.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 20 3 1 63
2 Dortmund 15 7 2 52
3 Hoffenheim 14 4 6 46
4 Stuttgart 14 4 6 46
5 RB Leipzig 13 5 6 44
6 Leverkusen 12 4 7 40
7 Frankfurt 9 7 8 34
8 Freiburg 9 6 9 33
9 Augsburg 9 4 11 31
10 Union Berlin 7 7 10 28
11 HSV 6 8 9 26
12 M'gladbach 6 7 11 25
13 1. FC Köln 6 6 12 24
14 Mainz 5 8 11 23
15 St. Pauli 6 5 13 23
16 Bremen 5 7 12 22
17 Wolfsburg 5 5 14 20
18 Heidenheim 3 5 16 14
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 24 30 4
D. Undav VFB GER 20 14 3
L. Díaz FCB COL 23 13 8
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 24 11 N/A

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