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Round 12 - Bundesliga

Hamburger SV VS VfB Stuttgart

Volksparkstadion

30 November, 2025

Overview:

Hamburger SV (14th, 9 GF, 10 GA) hosts VfB Stuttgart (5th, 20 GF, 10 GA) in Bundesliga Round 12. Stuttgart holds significant league position advantage with superior goal-scoring record. Teams last met in March 2018 (1-1 draw). Stuttgart leads historical H2H with 13 wins vs Hamburg''s 7 wins and 2 draws.

Recent H2H results: 1-1 draw (March 2018)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of VfB Stuttgart.
Stuttgart's superior possession and goal-scoring average suggest dominant ball control strategy. Hamburg likely to employ defensive approach protecting against Stuttgart's attacking prowess. Stuttgart's through-ball effectiveness ('very likely' to score from through balls) versus Hamburg's high offside frequency creates tactical mismatch. Stuttgart should control midfield tempo.
Stuttgart's 11-goal scoring advantage and league position superiority heavily favor away victory. Hamburg's poor form (1 win in last 5 games) contrasts sharply with Stuttgart's consistency. Historical H2H advantage to Stuttgart combined with current form disparity indicates clear favorite. Over 2.5 goals probability very high based on recent patterns.

Last Update: 28-11-2025

Stats:

Hamburger SV VfB Stuttgart
Expected Possession
0.42 0.58
Average Goals Per Match
0.82 1.82
Win Probability
0.22 0.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 24 4 1 76
2 Dortmund 19 7 3 64
3 Stuttgart 17 5 7 56
4 RB Leipzig 17 5 7 56
5 Leverkusen 15 7 7 52
6 Hoffenheim 15 6 8 51
7 Frankfurt 11 9 9 42
8 Freiburg 11 7 11 40
9 Mainz 8 9 12 33
10 Augsburg 9 6 14 33
11 Union Berlin 8 8 13 32
12 HSV 7 10 12 31
13 1. FC Köln 7 9 13 30
14 M'gladbach 7 9 13 30
15 Bremen 7 7 15 28
16 St. Pauli 6 7 16 25
17 Wolfsburg 5 6 18 21
18 Heidenheim 4 7 18 19
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 27 31 4
D. Undav VFB GER 25 18 5
L. Díaz FCB COL 27 15 9
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 29 13 N/A

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