Round 12 - Bundesliga
Hamburger SV VS VfB Stuttgart
Volksparkstadion
30 November, 2025
Overview:
Hamburger SV (14th, 9 GF, 10 GA) hosts VfB Stuttgart (5th, 20 GF, 10 GA) in Bundesliga Round 12. Stuttgart holds significant league position advantage with superior goal-scoring record. Teams last met in March 2018 (1-1 draw). Stuttgart leads historical H2H with 13 wins vs Hamburg''s 7 wins and 2 draws.
Recent H2H results: 1-1 draw (March 2018)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of VfB Stuttgart.
Stuttgart's superior possession and goal-scoring average suggest dominant ball control strategy. Hamburg likely to employ defensive approach protecting against Stuttgart's attacking prowess. Stuttgart's through-ball effectiveness ('very likely' to score from through balls) versus Hamburg's high offside frequency creates tactical mismatch. Stuttgart should control midfield tempo.
Stuttgart's 11-goal scoring advantage and league position superiority heavily favor away victory. Hamburg's poor form (1 win in last 5 games) contrasts sharply with Stuttgart's consistency. Historical H2H advantage to Stuttgart combined with current form disparity indicates clear favorite. Over 2.5 goals probability very high based on recent patterns.
Stats:
| Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 0.42 | 0.58 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 0.82 | 1.82 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.22 | 0.6 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 12 | Bremen | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 |
| 13 | HSV | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 18 | Mainz | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 16 | 20 | 3 |
| M. Olise | FCB | FRA | 16 | 9 | 9 |
| L. Díaz | FCB | COL | 15 | 9 | 6 |
| H. Tabaković | BMG | BOS | 15 | 9 | 1 |
