Round 14 - Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim VS Hamburger SV
PreZero Arena
13 December, 2025
Overview:
Hoffenheim, 5th in Bundesliga with 23 points from 13 games (7W-2D-4L, 25GF-19GA), hosts struggling Hamburger SV, 13th with 15 points (4W-3D-6L, 14GF-20GA), at PreZero Arena in round 14. First meeting since Hoffenheim's 2-0 win in April 2018. Hoffenheim strong at home with three straight wins.
Recent H2H results: Hoffenheim 2-0 HSV (Apr 2018)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of 1899 Hoffenheim.
Hoffenheim's higher possession (53.7%) and passing volume should control tempo at home. HSV's counter-attacking from 50.6% possession could exploit transitions. Expect Hoffenheim to dominate corners (6.1 vs 3.8) and shots.
Home advantage, superior league position, and recent form favor Hoffenheim. HSV's dismal away record (winless in 7) significantly boosts home win likelihood despite both teams' BTTS tendencies.
Stats:
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 53.7 | 50.6 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.92 | 1.08 |
| Win Probability | |
| 62.5 | 15.5 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 12 | Bremen | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 |
| 13 | HSV | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 18 | Mainz | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 16 | 20 | 3 |
| M. Olise | FCB | FRA | 16 | 9 | 9 |
| L. Díaz | FCB | COL | 15 | 9 | 6 |
| H. Tabaković | BMG | BOS | 15 | 9 | 1 |
