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Round 15 - Bundesliga

RB Leipzig VS Bayer Leverkusen

Red Bull Arena

20 December, 2025

Overview:

Tightly contested Bundesliga matchup at Red Bull Arena between RB Leipzig (home) and Bayer Leverkusen (away) for Round 15; both sides enter in good attacking form with recent H2H history favouring Leipzig narrowly and expectations of an open game with goals from both sides based on recent meetings and season scoring rates[3][6].

Recent H2H results: Leipzig 8 wins, Leverkusen 5 wins, 5 draws (recent meetings edge to Leipzig).

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-2 in favor of Draw.
Leipzig likely to press aggressively and exploit half-spaces with wide overloads while Leverkusen will seek to control central possession and create chances via interchanging forwards; set-pieces and transitions expected to be decisive given both teams' attacking profiles[3][6].
Leipzig home pressing and recent H2H advantage slightly raise home edge, while Leverkusen's consistent chance creation and slightly higher scoring rate reduce home edge—results in a close probabilistic outlook[1][4].

Stats:

RB Leipzig Bayer Leverkusen
Expected Possession
52.5 47.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.85 1.95
Win Probability
0.36 0.3
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 14 2 0 44
2 Dortmund 9 6 1 33
3 RB Leipzig 9 2 4 29
4 Leverkusen 9 2 5 29
5 Stuttgart 9 2 5 29
6 Hoffenheim 8 3 4 27
7 Frankfurt 7 5 4 26
8 Freiburg 6 5 5 23
9 Union Berlin 6 4 6 22
10 M'gladbach 5 4 7 19
11 1. FC Köln 4 5 7 17
12 Bremen 4 5 6 17
13 HSV 4 4 8 16
14 Wolfsburg 4 3 9 15
15 Augsburg 4 2 10 14
16 St. Pauli 3 3 9 12
17 Heidenheim 3 3 10 12
18 Mainz 1 6 9 9
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 16 20 3
M. Olise FCB FRA 16 9 9
L. Díaz FCB COL 15 9 6
H. Tabaković BMG BOS 15 9 1

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