Overview:

Bundesliga Round 15 meeting at MEWA Arena: struggling Mainz (home) host low-scoring St. Pauli (away). Both teams sit in the relegation/low-mid zone, recent forms mixed — Mainz have shown slight defensive improvement while St. Pauli remain compact and organized on transitions.

Recent H2H results: Mainz unbeaten vs St. Pauli (4 wins in last 4 H2H meetings).

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Expect Mainz to control possession and probe centrally while St. Pauli sit slightly deeper and attempt quick transitions; set pieces and second-ball duels will be decisive; Mainz may push wing-backs higher which opens space for Pauli counters.
Mainz's slightly better home possession and H2H dominance increase their chances despite low scoring; St. Pauli's compact defensive shape and recent away resilience temper the margin — set pieces and transitional moments tilt outcome toward Mainz.

Stats:

1. FSV Mainz 05	FC St. Pauli
Expected Possession
51.7	48.3
Average Goals Per Match
0.93	0.93
Win Probability
0.52	0.22

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Bayern	14	2	0	44
2	Dortmund	9	6	1	33
3	RB Leipzig	9	2	4	29
4	Leverkusen	9	2	5	29
5	Stuttgart	9	2	5	29
6	Hoffenheim	8	3	4	27
7	Frankfurt	7	5	4	26
8	Freiburg	6	5	5	23
9	Union Berlin	6	4	6	22
10	M'gladbach	5	4	7	19
11	1. FC Köln	4	5	7	17
12	Bremen	4	5	6	17
13	HSV	4	4	8	16
14	Wolfsburg	4	3	9	15
15	Augsburg	4	2	10	14
16	St. Pauli	3	3	9	12
17	Heidenheim	3	3	10	12
18	Mainz	1	6	9	9

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
H. Kane	FCB	ENG	16	20	3
M. Olise	FCB	FRA	16	9	9
L. Díaz	FCB	COL	15	9	6
H. Tabaković	BMG	BOS	15	9	1

1. FSV Mainz 05 VS FC St. Pauli

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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