Round 19 - Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli VS Hamburger SV
Millerntor-Stadion
23 January, 2026
Overview:
Local derby at Millerntor: FC St. Pauli host Hamburger SV in Bundesliga Round 19; expect a tight, intense match with St. Pauli leveraging home support and recent H2H edge while HSV will press for control through wide play.
Recent H2H results: St. Pauli 2-0 Hamburger SV (29 Aug 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of FC St. Pauli.
Expect St. Pauli to press high and overload flanks; HSV likely to sit slightly deeper and hit on quick switches and set pieces. Midfield battles and turnover management will decide tempo.
Home advantage and recent H2H victory favor St. Pauli; HSV's counter strengths slightly reduce home certainty but not enough to swing model.
Stats:
| FC St. Pauli | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 51.2 | 48.8 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.32 | 1.08 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.46 | 0.25 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 12 | Bremen | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 |
| 13 | HSV | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 18 | Mainz | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 16 | 20 | 3 |
| M. Olise | FCB | FRA | 16 | 9 | 9 |
| L. Díaz | FCB | COL | 15 | 9 | 6 |
| H. Tabaković | BMG | BOS | 15 | 9 | 1 |
