Overview:

Local derby at Millerntor: FC St. Pauli host Hamburger SV in Bundesliga Round 19; expect a tight, intense match with St. Pauli leveraging home support and recent H2H edge while HSV will press for control through wide play.

Recent H2H results: St. Pauli 2-0 Hamburger SV (29 Aug 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of FC St. Pauli.
Expect St. Pauli to press high and overload flanks; HSV likely to sit slightly deeper and hit on quick switches and set pieces. Midfield battles and turnover management will decide tempo.
Home advantage and recent H2H victory favor St. Pauli; HSV's counter strengths slightly reduce home certainty but not enough to swing model.

Last Update: 16-12-2025

Stats:

FC St. Pauli	Hamburger SV
Expected Possession
51.2	48.8
Average Goals Per Match
1.32	1.08
Win Probability
0.46	0.25

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Bayern	28	5	1	89
2	Dortmund	22	7	5	73
3	RB Leipzig	20	5	9	65
4	Stuttgart	18	8	8	62
5	Hoffenheim	18	7	9	61
6	Leverkusen	17	8	9	59
7	Freiburg	13	8	13	47
8	Frankfurt	11	11	12	44
9	Augsburg	12	7	15	43
10	Mainz	10	10	14	40
11	Union Berlin	10	9	15	39
12	M'gladbach	9	11	14	38
13	HSV	9	11	14	38
14	1. FC Köln	7	11	16	32
15	Bremen	8	8	18	32
16	Wolfsburg	7	8	19	29
17	Heidenheim	6	8	20	26
18	St. Pauli	6	8	20	26

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
H. Kane	FCB	ENG	32	36	4
D. Undav	VFB	GER	29	19	6
S. Guirassy	BVB	GUI	34	17	N/A
P. Schick	B04	CZE	28	16	2

FC St. Pauli VS Hamburger SV

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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