Round 19 - Bundesliga
SC Freiburg VS 1. FC Koln
Europa-Park Stadion
25 January, 2026
Overview:
Tightly contested Bundesliga fixture at Europa-Park Stadion where SC Freiburg's organized pressing and set-piece threat will face 1. FC Köln's direct attacking transitions and higher recent goal output; model factors in historical H2H, current season form, recent meeting (Aug 31, 2025: Köln 4–1 Freiburg) and home advantage for Freiburg in Round 19 to produce a conservative probability leaning to a Freiburg draw/edge at home.
Recent H2H results: 31 Aug 2025: 1. FC Köln 4–1 SC Freiburg
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of Draw.
Freiburg likely to press in midfield and rely on set-pieces and controlled possession; Köln will seek quick vertical passes and exploit space on transitions and flanks — success depends on Freiburg limiting turnovers and Köln converting counter opportunities.
Aug 31 H2H heavy Köln win reduces Freiburg margin of error; Freiburg's home advantage and defensive improvements raise probability of a draw or narrow home win; Köln's higher recent scoring keeps them dangerous on counters.
Stats:
| SC Freiburg | 1. FC Koln |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 52.4 | 47.6 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.45 | 1.62 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.36 | 0.25 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 12 | Bremen | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 |
| 13 | HSV | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 18 | Mainz | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 16 | 20 | 3 |
| M. Olise | FCB | FRA | 16 | 9 | 9 |
| L. Díaz | FCB | COL | 15 | 9 | 6 |
| H. Tabaković | BMG | BOS | 15 | 9 | 1 |
