Overview:

Tightly contested Bundesliga fixture at Europa-Park Stadion where SC Freiburg's organized pressing and set-piece threat will face 1. FC Köln's direct attacking transitions and higher recent goal output; model factors in historical H2H, current season form, recent meeting (Aug 31, 2025: Köln 4–1 Freiburg) and home advantage for Freiburg in Round 19 to produce a conservative probability leaning to a Freiburg draw/edge at home.

Recent H2H results: 31 Aug 2025: 1. FC Köln 4–1 SC Freiburg

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of Draw.
Freiburg likely to press in midfield and rely on set-pieces and controlled possession; Köln will seek quick vertical passes and exploit space on transitions and flanks — success depends on Freiburg limiting turnovers and Köln converting counter opportunities.
Aug 31 H2H heavy Köln win reduces Freiburg margin of error; Freiburg's home advantage and defensive improvements raise probability of a draw or narrow home win; Köln's higher recent scoring keeps them dangerous on counters.

Last Update: 16-12-2025

Stats:

SC Freiburg	1. FC Koln
Expected Possession
52.4	47.6
Average Goals Per Match
1.45	1.62
Win Probability
0.36	0.25

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Bayern	28	5	1	89
2	Dortmund	22	7	5	73
3	RB Leipzig	20	5	9	65
4	Stuttgart	18	8	8	62
5	Hoffenheim	18	7	9	61
6	Leverkusen	17	8	9	59
7	Freiburg	13	8	13	47
8	Frankfurt	11	11	12	44
9	Augsburg	12	7	15	43
10	Mainz	10	10	14	40
11	Union Berlin	10	9	15	39
12	M'gladbach	9	11	14	38
13	HSV	9	11	14	38
14	1. FC Köln	7	11	16	32
15	Bremen	8	8	18	32
16	Wolfsburg	7	8	19	29
17	Heidenheim	6	8	20	26
18	St. Pauli	6	8	20	26

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
H. Kane	FCB	ENG	32	36	4
D. Undav	VFB	GER	29	19	6
S. Guirassy	BVB	GUI	34	17	N/A
P. Schick	B04	CZE	28	16	2

SC Freiburg VS 1. FC Koln

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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