Overview:

Tightly contested Bundesliga fixture at Europa-Park Stadion where SC Freiburg's organized pressing and set-piece threat will face 1. FC Köln's direct attacking transitions and higher recent goal output; model factors in historical H2H, current season form, recent meeting (Aug 31, 2025: Köln 4–1 Freiburg) and home advantage for Freiburg in Round 19 to produce a conservative probability leaning to a Freiburg draw/edge at home.

Recent H2H results: 31 Aug 2025: 1. FC Köln 4–1 SC Freiburg

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of Draw.
Freiburg likely to press in midfield and rely on set-pieces and controlled possession; Köln will seek quick vertical passes and exploit space on transitions and flanks — success depends on Freiburg limiting turnovers and Köln converting counter opportunities.
Aug 31 H2H heavy Köln win reduces Freiburg margin of error; Freiburg's home advantage and defensive improvements raise probability of a draw or narrow home win; Köln's higher recent scoring keeps them dangerous on counters.

Last Update: 16-12-2025

Stats:

SC Freiburg	1. FC Koln
Expected Possession
52.4	47.6
Average Goals Per Match
1.45	1.62
Win Probability
0.36	0.25

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Bayern	24	4	1	76
2	Dortmund	19	7	3	64
3	Stuttgart	17	5	7	56
4	RB Leipzig	17	5	7	56
5	Leverkusen	15	7	7	52
6	Hoffenheim	15	6	8	51
7	Frankfurt	11	9	9	42
8	Freiburg	11	7	11	40
9	Mainz	8	9	12	33
10	Augsburg	9	6	14	33
11	Union Berlin	8	8	13	32
12	HSV	7	10	12	31
13	1. FC Köln	7	9	13	30
14	M'gladbach	7	9	13	30
15	Bremen	7	7	15	28
16	St. Pauli	6	7	16	25
17	Wolfsburg	5	6	18	21
18	Heidenheim	4	7	18	19

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
H. Kane	FCB	ENG	27	31	4
D. Undav	VFB	GER	25	18	5
L. Díaz	FCB	COL	27	15	9
S. Guirassy	BVB	GUI	29	13	N/A

SC Freiburg VS 1. FC Koln

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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