Round 22 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund VS 1. FSV Mainz 05
Signal Iduna Park
14 February, 2026
Overview:
Bundesliga Round 22 fixture between league-leading Borussia Dortmund and struggling 1. FSV Mainz 05. Dortmund currently ranks 2nd while Mainz holds 18th position. Historical dominance strongly favors the home side.
Recent H2H results: Borussia Dortmund won 1, Draw 1, Lose 3 in last 5 matches
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
Dortmund's superior possession control and home-field advantage provide structural advantages. Mainz's recent goal-scoring improvement may challenge Dortmund's inconsistent recent defense. Mainz's 80% Asian Handicap rate suggests potential for competitive performance despite league position. Historical dominance favors tactical setup favoring Dortmund attacking play.
Strong historical precedent combined with league table positioning heavily favors Dortmund. However, Mainz's recent goal-scoring form and Dortmund's defensive vulnerabilities in the past five matches create uncertainty. Home advantage amplifies Dortmund's already dominant record. Mainz's recent attacking improvements may limit margin of victory.
Stats:
| Borussia Dortmund | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 62.5 | 37.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.6 | 1 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.72 | 0.1 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 12 | Bremen | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 |
| 13 | HSV | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 18 | Mainz | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 16 | 20 | 3 |
| M. Olise | FCB | FRA | 16 | 9 | 9 |
| L. Díaz | FCB | COL | 15 | 9 | 6 |
| H. Tabaković | BMG | BOS | 15 | 9 | 1 |
