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Round 23 - Bundesliga

RB Leipzig VS Borussia Dortmund

Red Bull Arena

21 February, 2026

Overview:

RB Leipzig hosts Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga Round 23 on February 21, 2026. Dortmund arrives as the stronger team, having won six consecutive league matches and remaining unbeaten in seven away games. Leipzig struggles with inconsistent form, winning only one of their last five competitive matches. This matchup features contrasting trajectories with Dortmund's attacking momentum against Leipzig's defensive vulnerabilities at home.

Recent H2H results: 1-1 draw at Signal Iduna Park (first leg this season)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
Dortmund's second-place away ranking and seven-match unbeaten streak suggests superior tactical execution and defensive stability. Leipzig's home vulnerability (one win in five) indicates difficulty maintaining possession and pressing intensity. Dortmund's six-game winning streak demonstrates superior team cohesion and attacking coordination. Historical data shows no goalless matches between teams, suggesting offensive commitment from both sides despite Leipzig's defensive challenges.
Current form disparity heavily favors Dortmund despite Leipzig's home advantage. Dortmund's unbeaten away record and consecutive victories indicate systematic superiority. Leipzig's recent home defeats and minimal defensive success against Dortmund's attacking form suggest high probability of away victory. Leipzig's recent point against Wolfsburg after falling behind twice shows resilience but insufficient against Dortmund's momentum.

Last Update: 20-02-2026

Stats:

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
Expected Possession
0.48 0.52
Average Goals Per Match
1.4 1.8
Win Probability
0.28 0.5
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 24 4 1 76
2 Dortmund 19 7 3 64
3 Stuttgart 17 5 7 56
4 RB Leipzig 17 5 7 56
5 Leverkusen 15 7 7 52
6 Hoffenheim 15 6 8 51
7 Frankfurt 11 9 9 42
8 Freiburg 11 7 11 40
9 Mainz 8 9 12 33
10 Augsburg 9 6 14 33
11 Union Berlin 8 8 13 32
12 HSV 7 10 12 31
13 1. FC Köln 7 9 13 30
14 M'gladbach 7 9 13 30
15 Bremen 7 7 15 28
16 St. Pauli 6 7 16 25
17 Wolfsburg 5 6 18 21
18 Heidenheim 4 7 18 19
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 27 31 4
D. Undav VFB GER 25 18 5
L. Díaz FCB COL 27 15 9
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 29 13 N/A

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