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Round 23 - Bundesliga

RB Leipzig VS Borussia Dortmund

Red Bull Arena

21 February, 2026

Overview:

RB Leipzig hosts Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga Round 23 on February 21, 2026. Dortmund arrives as the stronger team, having won six consecutive league matches and remaining unbeaten in seven away games. Leipzig struggles with inconsistent form, winning only one of their last five competitive matches. This matchup features contrasting trajectories with Dortmund's attacking momentum against Leipzig's defensive vulnerabilities at home.

Recent H2H results: 1-1 draw at Signal Iduna Park (first leg this season)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
Dortmund's second-place away ranking and seven-match unbeaten streak suggests superior tactical execution and defensive stability. Leipzig's home vulnerability (one win in five) indicates difficulty maintaining possession and pressing intensity. Dortmund's six-game winning streak demonstrates superior team cohesion and attacking coordination. Historical data shows no goalless matches between teams, suggesting offensive commitment from both sides despite Leipzig's defensive challenges.
Current form disparity heavily favors Dortmund despite Leipzig's home advantage. Dortmund's unbeaten away record and consecutive victories indicate systematic superiority. Leipzig's recent home defeats and minimal defensive success against Dortmund's attacking form suggest high probability of away victory. Leipzig's recent point against Wolfsburg after falling behind twice shows resilience but insufficient against Dortmund's momentum.

Last Update: 20-02-2026

Stats:

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
Expected Possession
0.48 0.52
Average Goals Per Match
1.4 1.8
Win Probability
0.28 0.5
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 19 3 1 60
2 Dortmund 15 7 1 52
3 Hoffenheim 14 4 5 46
4 Stuttgart 13 4 6 43
5 RB Leipzig 12 5 6 41
6 Leverkusen 12 3 7 39
7 Freiburg 9 6 8 33
8 Frankfurt 8 7 8 31
9 Union Berlin 7 7 9 28
10 Augsburg 8 4 11 28
11 HSV 6 8 8 26
12 1. FC Köln 6 6 11 24
13 Mainz 5 7 11 22
14 M'gladbach 5 7 11 22
15 Wolfsburg 5 5 13 20
16 St. Pauli 5 5 13 20
17 Bremen 4 7 12 19
18 Heidenheim 3 5 15 14
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 23 28 4
L. Díaz FCB COL 22 13 8
D. Undav VFB GER 19 13 3
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 23 11 N/A

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