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Round 23 - Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli VS Werder Bremen

Millerntor-Stadion

22 February, 2026

Overview:

FC St. Pauli hosts Werder Bremen in Bundesliga Round 23. St. Pauli (17th place, 17 points) faces Werder Bremen (16th place, 19 points) in a crucial battle near the relegation zone. Both teams are struggling with recent poor form.

Recent H2H results: Draw 1-1

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of Werder Bremen.
Werder Bremen's historical advantage in head-to-head records and superior goal-scoring average suggest attacking approach, while St. Pauli's recent stabilization and home advantage at Millerntor-Stadion could provide defensive resilience. The match features two teams fighting relegation with contrasting momentum trajectories.
Historical h2h data heavily favors Werder Bremen (8 wins vs 3), but recent form shows St. Pauli trending upward while Werder Bremen in decline. Home advantage and current point differential (St. Pauli +2 potential) create uncertainty. Under 2.5 goals trend in recent h2h matches (6 of 7) suggests low-scoring contest.

Last Update: 20-02-2026

Stats:

FC St. Pauli Werder Bremen
Expected Possession
0.45 0.55
Average Goals Per Match
1.38 1.5
Win Probability
0.28 0.38
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 28 5 1 89
2 Dortmund 22 7 5 73
3 RB Leipzig 20 5 9 65
4 Stuttgart 18 8 8 62
5 Hoffenheim 18 7 9 61
6 Leverkusen 17 8 9 59
7 Freiburg 13 8 13 47
8 Frankfurt 11 11 12 44
9 Augsburg 12 7 15 43
10 Mainz 10 10 14 40
11 Union Berlin 10 9 15 39
12 M'gladbach 9 11 14 38
13 HSV 9 11 14 38
14 1. FC Köln 7 11 16 32
15 Bremen 8 8 18 32
16 Wolfsburg 7 8 19 29
17 Heidenheim 6 8 20 26
18 St. Pauli 6 8 20 26
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 32 36 4
D. Undav VFB GER 29 19 6
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 34 17 N/A
P. Schick B04 CZE 28 16 2

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