Overview:

FC St. Pauli hosts Werder Bremen in Bundesliga Round 23. St. Pauli (17th place, 17 points) faces Werder Bremen (16th place, 19 points) in a crucial battle near the relegation zone. Both teams are struggling with recent poor form.

Recent H2H results: Draw 1-1

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of Werder Bremen.
Werder Bremen's historical advantage in head-to-head records and superior goal-scoring average suggest attacking approach, while St. Pauli's recent stabilization and home advantage at Millerntor-Stadion could provide defensive resilience. The match features two teams fighting relegation with contrasting momentum trajectories.
Historical h2h data heavily favors Werder Bremen (8 wins vs 3), but recent form shows St. Pauli trending upward while Werder Bremen in decline. Home advantage and current point differential (St. Pauli +2 potential) create uncertainty. Under 2.5 goals trend in recent h2h matches (6 of 7) suggests low-scoring contest.

Last Update: 20-02-2026

Stats:

FC St. Pauli	Werder Bremen
Expected Possession
0.45	0.55
Average Goals Per Match
1.38	1.5
Win Probability
0.28	0.38

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Bayern	24	4	1	76
2	Dortmund	19	7	3	64
3	Stuttgart	17	5	7	56
4	RB Leipzig	17	5	7	56
5	Leverkusen	15	7	7	52
6	Hoffenheim	15	6	8	51
7	Frankfurt	11	9	9	42
8	Freiburg	11	7	11	40
9	Mainz	8	9	12	33
10	Augsburg	9	6	14	33
11	Union Berlin	8	8	13	32
12	HSV	7	10	12	31
13	1. FC Köln	7	9	13	30
14	M'gladbach	7	9	13	30
15	Bremen	7	7	15	28
16	St. Pauli	6	7	16	25
17	Wolfsburg	5	6	18	21
18	Heidenheim	4	7	18	19

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
H. Kane	FCB	ENG	27	31	4
D. Undav	VFB	GER	25	18	5
L. Díaz	FCB	COL	27	15	9
S. Guirassy	BVB	GUI	29	13	N/A

FC St. Pauli VS Werder Bremen

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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