Round 23 - Bundesliga
1. FSV Mainz 05 VS Hamburger SV
MEWA ARENA
21 February, 2026
Overview:
FSV Mainz 05 hosts Hamburger SV in Bundesliga round 23 at MEWA ARENA. Mainz sits 18th with poor defense, HSV 13th-14th showing better recent scoring form despite mid-table position.
Recent H2H results: Hamburger SV 4-0 Mainz (Oct 2025)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Hamburger SV.
Mainz will prioritize compact defense and counter through Amiri. HSV likely dominates possession with wing play targeting Mainz's weak fullbacks. Home advantage may force early pressure.
HSV's recent 4-0 H2H dominance and better attack outweighs Mainz home edge. Mainz defensive woes make them vulnerable to HSV counters.
Stats:
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 48.5 | 51.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Win Probability | |
| 28.5 | 45.5 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 12 | Bremen | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 |
| 13 | HSV | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 18 | Mainz | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 16 | 20 | 3 |
| M. Olise | FCB | FRA | 16 | 9 | 9 |
| L. Díaz | FCB | COL | 15 | 9 | 6 |
| H. Tabaković | BMG | BOS | 15 | 9 | 1 |
