Round 25 - Bundesliga
1. FSV Mainz 05 VS VfB Stuttgart
MEWA ARENA
7 March, 2026
Overview:
Bundesliga Round 25 matchup between 1. FSV Mainz 05 (home) and VfB Stuttgart (away). Stuttgart holds historical advantage with 18 wins versus Mainz's 13 wins across 40 meetings. Recent form shows Stuttgart in good away form with four consecutive away victories, while Mainz's current status requires assessment.
Recent H2H results: Stuttgart won 2-0 on 29 Oct 2025 (DFB Pokal)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of VfB Stuttgart.
Stuttgart's recent dominance in direct matchups and superior offensive capability suggest pressing high. Mainz should employ compact defensive shape and counter-attacking strategy to exploit Stuttgart's away fatigue. Possession battle critical with Stuttgart favored.
Stuttgart's historical superiority combined with current away form momentum and recent head-to-head victory provides significant predictive weight. Mainz's home advantage partially offset by recent poor performance versus this opponent. Goal-scoring differential favors Stuttgart.
Last Update: 22-01-2026
Stats:
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 48 | 52 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.38 | 1.62 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.32 | 0.4 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 19 | 3 | 1 | 60 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 15 | 7 | 1 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 4 | 5 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 13 | 4 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 8 | 33 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28 |
| 11 | HSV | 6 | 8 | 8 | 26 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
| 13 | Mainz | 5 | 7 | 11 | 22 |
| 14 | M'gladbach | 5 | 7 | 11 | 22 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 |
| 17 | Bremen | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 23 | 28 | 4 |
| L. Díaz | FCB | COL | 22 | 13 | 8 |
| D. Undav | VFB | GER | 19 | 13 | 3 |
| S. Guirassy | BVB | GUI | 23 | 11 | N/A |
