Overview:

Bundesliga Round 25 fixture between 1. FSV Mainz 05 (14th place, 14 GF, 37 GA) and VfB Stuttgart (4th place, 48 GF, 27 GA) at MEWA Arena on March 7, 2026. Stuttgart are strong favorites with superior league position, goal differential, and recent form.

Recent H2H results: Stuttgart 2-1 Mainz (Oct 26, 2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-3 in favor of VfB Stuttgart.
Stuttgart's possession dominance (59.1% in previous meeting) will be decisive factor. Mainz's defensive organization tested by Stuttgart's prolific attack. Set pieces important given Amiri's penalty conversion. Stuttgart's wing play through Führich and Leweling poses defensive challenges.
Stuttgart's exceptional attacking output (48 goals), superior goal differential, and current league position heavily favor away victory. Mainz's weak defensive record and poor form make them vulnerable to Stuttgart's intensity. Historical h2h shows Stuttgart winning 16 of 36 meetings (44.4% win rate).

Last Update: 06-03-2026

Stats:

1. FSV Mainz 05	VfB Stuttgart
Expected Possession
0.4	0.6
Average Goals Per Match
1.4	2.4
Win Probability
0.18	0.6

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Bayern	28	5	1	89
2	Dortmund	22	7	5	73
3	RB Leipzig	20	5	9	65
4	Stuttgart	18	8	8	62
5	Hoffenheim	18	7	9	61
6	Leverkusen	17	8	9	59
7	Freiburg	13	8	13	47
8	Frankfurt	11	11	12	44
9	Augsburg	12	7	15	43
10	Mainz	10	10	14	40
11	Union Berlin	10	9	15	39
12	M'gladbach	9	11	14	38
13	HSV	9	11	14	38
14	1. FC Köln	7	11	16	32
15	Bremen	8	8	18	32
16	Wolfsburg	7	8	19	29
17	Heidenheim	6	8	20	26
18	St. Pauli	6	8	20	26

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
H. Kane	FCB	ENG	32	36	4
D. Undav	VFB	GER	29	19	6
S. Guirassy	BVB	GUI	34	17	N/A
P. Schick	B04	CZE	28	16	2

1. FSV Mainz 05 VS VfB Stuttgart

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

Enjoy Our Free Sports Tips?

Support Us with a Donation to Keep the Website Alive and Growing!