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Round 26 - Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart VS RB Leipzig

MHPArena

15 March, 2026

Overview:

VfB Stuttgart (4th place, 18 points) faces RB Leipzig (3rd place, 19 points) in Bundesliga Round 26. Leipzig dominates the historical h2h with 10 wins to Stuttgart's 4, though Stuttgart has shown recent form improvements. Both teams are competing for UEFA Champions League qualification.

Recent H2H results: RB Leipzig 3-1 VfB Stuttgart (01/11/2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of RB Leipzig.
Leipzig's possession advantage (58% vs 42%) combined with superior goal-scoring output (2.11 vs 1.56 ppg) suggests a dominating tactical approach. Stuttgart will likely employ defensive discipline and counter-attacking strategies, as evidenced by their 1.56 goals conceded average. Leipzig's historical dominance in h2h matchups indicates proven tactical superiority in this specific fixture.
RB Leipzig's 10 wins in 16 h2h meetings, current unbeaten run of 8 matches, and superior attacking statistics (14 goals in last 5 matches) significantly favor Leipzig. Stuttgart's inconsistency against Leipzig and lower goal-scoring average (1.56) substantially diminish their winning prospects. Leipzig's 3rd position with stronger form creates a strong predictive bias toward an away victory.

Last Update: 22-01-2026

Stats:

VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig
Expected Possession
42 58
Average Goals Per Match
1.56 2.11
Win Probability
0.25 0.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 28 5 1 89
2 Dortmund 22 7 5 73
3 RB Leipzig 20 5 9 65
4 Stuttgart 18 8 8 62
5 Hoffenheim 18 7 9 61
6 Leverkusen 17 8 9 59
7 Freiburg 13 8 13 47
8 Frankfurt 11 11 12 44
9 Augsburg 12 7 15 43
10 Mainz 10 10 14 40
11 Union Berlin 10 9 15 39
12 M'gladbach 9 11 14 38
13 HSV 9 11 14 38
14 1. FC Köln 7 11 16 32
15 Bremen 8 8 18 32
16 Wolfsburg 7 8 19 29
17 Heidenheim 6 8 20 26
18 St. Pauli 6 8 20 26
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 32 36 4
D. Undav VFB GER 29 19 6
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 34 17 N/A
P. Schick B04 CZE 28 16 2

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