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Round 26 - Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart VS RB Leipzig

MHPArena

14 March, 2026

Overview:

VfB Stuttgart (4th place, 18 points) faces RB Leipzig (3rd place, 19 points) in Bundesliga Round 26. Leipzig dominates the historical h2h with 10 wins to Stuttgart's 4, though Stuttgart has shown recent form improvements. Both teams are competing for UEFA Champions League qualification.

Recent H2H results: RB Leipzig 3-1 VfB Stuttgart (01/11/2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of RB Leipzig.
Leipzig's possession advantage (58% vs 42%) combined with superior goal-scoring output (2.11 vs 1.56 ppg) suggests a dominating tactical approach. Stuttgart will likely employ defensive discipline and counter-attacking strategies, as evidenced by their 1.56 goals conceded average. Leipzig's historical dominance in h2h matchups indicates proven tactical superiority in this specific fixture.
RB Leipzig's 10 wins in 16 h2h meetings, current unbeaten run of 8 matches, and superior attacking statistics (14 goals in last 5 matches) significantly favor Leipzig. Stuttgart's inconsistency against Leipzig and lower goal-scoring average (1.56) substantially diminish their winning prospects. Leipzig's 3rd position with stronger form creates a strong predictive bias toward an away victory.

Last Update: 22-01-2026

Stats:

VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig
Expected Possession
42 58
Average Goals Per Match
1.56 2.11
Win Probability
0.25 0.6
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 19 3 1 60
2 Dortmund 15 7 1 52
3 Hoffenheim 14 4 5 46
4 Stuttgart 13 4 6 43
5 RB Leipzig 12 5 6 41
6 Leverkusen 12 3 7 39
7 Freiburg 9 6 8 33
8 Frankfurt 8 7 8 31
9 Union Berlin 7 7 9 28
10 Augsburg 8 4 11 28
11 HSV 6 8 8 26
12 1. FC Köln 6 6 11 24
13 Mainz 5 7 11 22
14 M'gladbach 5 7 11 22
15 Wolfsburg 5 5 13 20
16 St. Pauli 5 5 13 20
17 Bremen 4 7 12 19
18 Heidenheim 3 5 15 14
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 23 28 4
L. Díaz FCB COL 22 13 8
D. Undav VFB GER 19 13 3
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 23 11 N/A

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