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Round 28 - Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart VS Borussia Dortmund

MHPArena

4 April, 2026

Overview:

VfB Stuttgart hosts Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga Round 28. Stuttgart has been dominant in recent encounters, winning 4 of the last 6 matches since 2023, including a 5-1 victory in September 2024. Dortmund seeks to arrest their poor form against Stuttgart while maintaining their competitive Bundesliga standing.

Recent H2H results: Borussia Dortmund 1-2 VfB Stuttgart (08.02.2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of VfB Stuttgart.
Stuttgart's home advantage critical factor with 10 home wins against Dortmund's 7 away wins. Stuttgart's recent tactical superiority evident in 5-1 dominant performance. Dortmund must address defensive vulnerabilities exposed in recent matchups. Expected possession favoring Stuttgart at home suggests Stuttgart control tempo while Dortmund counters on transitions. Stuttgart's clinical finishing vs Dortmund's attacking threat creates balanced dynamic.
Recent Stuttgart dominance (4 wins in 6 matches) heavily outweighs historical Dortmund advantage (19-13 head-to-head). Home field advantage at MHP Arena combined with current form gives Stuttgart significant edge. Dortmund's recent away struggles against Stuttgart (1 draw, 4 losses in last 5) indicate psychological and tactical disadvantage. Stuttgart's 10 home wins vs Dortmund represents strongest historical metric in this matchup.

Last Update: 30-03-2026

Stats:

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
Expected Possession
54 46
Average Goals Per Match
1.96 2.12
Win Probability
0.62 0.2
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 24 4 1 76
2 Dortmund 19 7 3 64
3 Stuttgart 17 5 7 56
4 RB Leipzig 17 5 7 56
5 Leverkusen 15 7 7 52
6 Hoffenheim 15 6 8 51
7 Frankfurt 11 9 9 42
8 Freiburg 11 7 11 40
9 Mainz 8 9 12 33
10 Augsburg 9 6 14 33
11 Union Berlin 8 8 13 32
12 HSV 7 10 12 31
13 1. FC Köln 7 9 13 30
14 M'gladbach 7 9 13 30
15 Bremen 7 7 15 28
16 St. Pauli 6 7 16 25
17 Wolfsburg 5 6 18 21
18 Heidenheim 4 7 18 19
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 27 31 4
D. Undav VFB GER 25 18 5
L. Díaz FCB COL 27 15 9
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 29 13 N/A

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