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Round 28 - Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart VS Borussia Dortmund

MHPArena

4 April, 2026

Overview:

VfB Stuttgart hosts Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga Round 28. Stuttgart has been dominant in recent encounters, winning 4 of the last 6 matches since 2023, including a 5-1 victory in September 2024. Dortmund seeks to arrest their poor form against Stuttgart while maintaining their competitive Bundesliga standing.

Recent H2H results: Borussia Dortmund 1-2 VfB Stuttgart (08.02.2025)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of VfB Stuttgart.
Stuttgart's home advantage critical factor with 10 home wins against Dortmund's 7 away wins. Stuttgart's recent tactical superiority evident in 5-1 dominant performance. Dortmund must address defensive vulnerabilities exposed in recent matchups. Expected possession favoring Stuttgart at home suggests Stuttgart control tempo while Dortmund counters on transitions. Stuttgart's clinical finishing vs Dortmund's attacking threat creates balanced dynamic.
Recent Stuttgart dominance (4 wins in 6 matches) heavily outweighs historical Dortmund advantage (19-13 head-to-head). Home field advantage at MHP Arena combined with current form gives Stuttgart significant edge. Dortmund's recent away struggles against Stuttgart (1 draw, 4 losses in last 5) indicate psychological and tactical disadvantage. Stuttgart's 10 home wins vs Dortmund represents strongest historical metric in this matchup.

Last Update: 30-03-2026

Stats:

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
Expected Possession
54 46
Average Goals Per Match
1.96 2.12
Win Probability
0.62 0.2
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 28 5 1 89
2 Dortmund 22 7 5 73
3 RB Leipzig 20 5 9 65
4 Stuttgart 18 8 8 62
5 Hoffenheim 18 7 9 61
6 Leverkusen 17 8 9 59
7 Freiburg 13 8 13 47
8 Frankfurt 11 11 12 44
9 Augsburg 12 7 15 43
10 Mainz 10 10 14 40
11 Union Berlin 10 9 15 39
12 M'gladbach 9 11 14 38
13 HSV 9 11 14 38
14 1. FC Köln 7 11 16 32
15 Bremen 8 8 18 32
16 Wolfsburg 7 8 19 29
17 Heidenheim 6 8 20 26
18 St. Pauli 6 8 20 26
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 32 36 4
D. Undav VFB GER 29 19 6
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 34 17 N/A
P. Schick B04 CZE 28 16 2

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