Round 28 - Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim VS 1. FSV Mainz 05
PreZero Arena
5 April, 2026
Overview:
Bundesliga Round 28 matchup between 1899 Hoffenheim (home) and 1. FSV Mainz 05 (away). Historical head-to-head shows competitive balance with Mainz slightly favored overall (15 wins vs 12 wins, 11 draws in 38 meetings). Recent form data shows Hoffenheim with stronger attacking output but defensive vulnerabilities, while Mainz displays consistency but lower goal-scoring rate.
Recent H2H results: 21 Nov 2025: Mainz 1-1 Hoffenheim (Danny da Costa 76' vs Andreas Hanche-Olsen OG 8')
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Hoffenheim.
Hoffenheim's aggressive approach (55% possession) versus Mainz's defensive stability. Hoffenheim vulnerability at back exploitable by Mainz's organized away-game setup. Hoffenheim's superior firepower (2.8 vs 1.6 goals per match) suggests attacking dominance. Mainz unavailable players (Dal, Caci) weaken away defensive depth. Hoffenheim injuries (Behrens, Machida, Hlozek) impact tactical flexibility but not primary formation.
Hoffenheim's defensive frailty combined with their attacking strength creates high-scoring probability scenario. Mainz's historical away-game competence and h2h record suggest ability to contain but struggle to score. Recent form disparity (Hoffenheim 14 goals vs Mainz 4 goals in last 5) heavily favors home side. Draw frequency in recent matchups (2 of last 5) provides alternative outcome consideration.
Last Update: 18-02-2026
Stats:
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 0.55 | 0.45 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 2.8 | 1.6 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.58 | 0.17 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 19 | 3 | 1 | 60 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 15 | 7 | 1 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 4 | 5 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 13 | 4 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 8 | 33 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28 |
| 11 | HSV | 6 | 8 | 8 | 26 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
| 13 | Mainz | 5 | 7 | 11 | 22 |
| 14 | M'gladbach | 5 | 7 | 11 | 22 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 |
| 17 | Bremen | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 23 | 28 | 4 |
| L. Díaz | FCB | COL | 22 | 13 | 8 |
| D. Undav | VFB | GER | 19 | 13 | 3 |
| S. Guirassy | BVB | GUI | 23 | 11 | N/A |
