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Round 28 - Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin VS FC St. Pauli

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

5 April, 2026

Overview:

Bundesliga Round 28 matchup between 1. FC Union Berlin (10th place) hosting FC St. Pauli (17th place). Union Berlin is the stronger team based on current form and historical head-to-head record.

Recent H2H results: Union Berlin 1-0 St. Pauli (Last season, 2 matches played)

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of 1. FC Union Berlin.
Union Berlin's defensive solidity combined with superior goal-scoring output gives them tactical advantage. St. Pauli's away form deterioration and inability to convert chances suggest they will struggle to impose their game. Home advantage for Union Berlin is significant given St. Pauli's away record.
Historical dominance of Union Berlin (13 wins in 25 meetings), current league positioning gap (10th vs 17th), superior current form metrics, and St. Pauli's poor away record all heavily favor the home team. Union Berlin's defensive organization and scoring efficiency present significant challenges for the visiting side.

Last Update: 18-02-2026

Stats:

1. FC Union Berlin FC St. Pauli
Expected Possession
52.5 47.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.06 0.82
Win Probability
0.68 0.14
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 19 3 1 60
2 Dortmund 15 7 1 52
3 Hoffenheim 14 4 5 46
4 Stuttgart 13 4 6 43
5 RB Leipzig 12 5 6 41
6 Leverkusen 12 3 7 39
7 Freiburg 9 6 8 33
8 Frankfurt 8 7 8 31
9 Union Berlin 7 7 9 28
10 Augsburg 8 4 11 28
11 HSV 6 8 8 26
12 1. FC Köln 6 6 11 24
13 Mainz 5 7 11 22
14 M'gladbach 5 7 11 22
15 Wolfsburg 5 5 13 20
16 St. Pauli 5 5 13 20
17 Bremen 4 7 12 19
18 Heidenheim 3 5 15 14
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 23 28 4
L. Díaz FCB COL 22 13 8
D. Undav VFB GER 19 13 3
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 23 11 N/A

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