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Round 34 - Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 VS 1. FSV Mainz 05

Voith-Arena

16 May, 2026

Overview:

Bundesliga Round 34 matchup at Voith-Arena: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05. Current evidence points to a close, low-to-moderate scoring game with Mainz carrying the slight edge due to better season-level performance indicators and a recent 2-1 head-to-head win.

Recent H2H results: Mainz won 2-1 on Jan 13, 2026

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Heidenheim are likely to stay compact and look for direct attacks and dead-ball situations, while Mainz should aim to control possession, create higher-quality chances, and press selectively to force turnovers. The key battle is whether Heidenheim can keep the game level into the second half without allowing Mainz's superior chance creation to decide it.
Mainz's better recent efficiency, stronger chance creation, and prior head-to-head edge slightly outweigh Heidenheim's home advantage. Expect a competitive match, but Mainz are marginal favorites in a tight contest.

Last Update: 15-05-2026

Stats:

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1. FSV Mainz 05
Expected Possession
46.2 53.8
Average Goals Per Match
1.12 1.45
Win Probability
29 43
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 28 5 1 89
2 Dortmund 22 7 5 73
3 RB Leipzig 20 5 9 65
4 Stuttgart 18 8 8 62
5 Hoffenheim 18 7 9 61
6 Leverkusen 17 8 9 59
7 Freiburg 13 8 13 47
8 Frankfurt 11 11 12 44
9 Augsburg 12 7 15 43
10 Mainz 10 10 14 40
11 Union Berlin 10 9 15 39
12 M'gladbach 9 11 14 38
13 HSV 9 11 14 38
14 1. FC Köln 7 11 16 32
15 Bremen 8 8 18 32
16 Wolfsburg 7 8 19 29
17 Heidenheim 6 8 20 26
18 St. Pauli 6 8 20 26
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 32 36 4
D. Undav VFB GER 29 19 6
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 34 17 N/A
P. Schick B04 CZE 28 16 2

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