Round 23 - Serie A
Torino FC VS US Lecce
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
1 February, 2026
Overview:
Torino FC hosts US Lecce in Serie A Round 23. Torino are struggling offensively with 11 goals in 12 matches and recently suffered a 5-1 defeat to Como. Lecce are battling relegation with severe attacking deficiencies, including an 11-home-game scoreless streak and a 247-minute drought in all competitions.
Recent H2H results: Lecce won 1-0
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-0 in favor of Torino FC.
This matchup features two of Serie A's lowest-scoring teams. Torino's defensive prowess against Lecce historically (one goal conceded in six meetings) combined with Lecce's complete inability to score at home suggests a low-scoring affair. Lecce's superior away form provides minimal threat. Marco Baroni's management of Torino focuses on defensive stability rather than attacking intensity.
Lecce's catastrophic home record (fewest points in 2025, 11-game scoreless streak) heavily favors Torino despite their own offensive limitations. Torino's historical defensive dominance over Lecce (7 wins in 14 meetings) and Lecce's critical relegation position making them defensive-minded creates conditions for a narrow Torino victory. The prediction of Under 2.5 goals aligns with both teams' offensive deficiencies.
Stats:
| Torino FC | US Lecce |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 52 | 48 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 0.92 | 0.45 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.62 | 0.1 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 |
| 2 | Milan | 11 | 7 | 1 | 40 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | Juventus | 10 | 6 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Como 1907 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 7 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Lazio | 7 | 7 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Bologna | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | Udinese | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 16 | Lecce | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 |
| 19 | AC Pisa | 1 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 20 | Verona | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Martínez | INT | ARG | 19 | 10 | 4 |
| C. Pulisic | MIL | USA | 14 | 8 | 2 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | INT | TUR | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| R. Leão | MIL | POR | 13 | 7 | 1 |
