Overview:

Serie A Round 4 matchup with Lazio at home against AC Milan, with the market and model consensus pointing to a tight, low-to-moderate scoring game. Recent projections slightly favor Lazio at home, while several analyses still see Milan as competitive or marginally stronger away.

Recent H2H results: Recent H2H tight, low scoring

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-1 in favor of SS Lazio.
Expect Lazio to press more at home and Milan to stay compact, with transitions and set pieces likely to shape the match. The balance of probabilities suggests both teams can score, but the game should remain close.
Home advantage and slightly better projected xG for Lazio support a narrow home lean, but Milan’s defensive stability keeps draw and away-win chances meaningful.

Last Update: 01-08-2026

Stats:

SS Lazio	AC Milan
Expected Possession
53	47
Average Goals Per Match
1.3	1.2
Win Probability
49	31

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Inter	27	6	5	87
2	Napoli	23	7	8	76
3	Roma	23	4	11	73
4	Como 1907	20	11	7	71
5	Milan	20	10	8	70
6	Juventus	19	12	7	69
7	Atalanta	15	14	9	59
8	Bologna	16	8	14	56
9	Lazio	14	12	12	54
10	Udinese	14	8	16	50
11	Sassuolo	14	7	17	49
12	Torino	12	9	17	45
13	Parma	11	12	15	45
14	Cagliari	11	10	17	43
15	Fiorentina	9	15	14	42
16	Genoa	10	11	17	41
17	Lecce	10	8	20	38
18	Cremonese	8	10	20	34
19	Verona	3	12	23	21
20	AC Pisa	2	12	24	18

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
L. Martínez	INT	ARG	33	17	6
A. Douvikas	COM	GRE	38	14	1
D. Malen	ROM	NET	18	14	2
M. Thuram-Ulien	INT	FRA	31	13	6

SS Lazio VS AC Milan

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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