Round 28 - Serie A
AC Milan VS Inter
San Siro
8 March, 2026
Overview:
AC Milan vs Inter Milan, Serie A Round 28, scheduled for Sunday 8 March 2026 at 20:45 CET at San Siro. Inter leads the league by 10 points with 11 matches remaining. Inter has demonstrated exceptional consistency and control, while Milan maintains a strong season but with occasional lapses in focus.
Recent H2H results: Inter 2-0 AC Milan (2023 Champions League semi-final first leg)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Inter.
Inter will field four Italian starters (Bastoni, Dimarco, Barella, Esposito) under Chivu's management. Milan expected to deploy 100% international XI due to injuries. Inter's possession control strategy versus Milan's aggressive chance creation will be pivotal. Milan's set-piece vulnerability contrasts with Inter's clinical finishing. Inter's late-game concentration lapses present opportunity for Milan's proven comeback strength.
Inter's 10-point lead and superior consistency provide significant psychological advantage. However, Milan's very strong comeback ability and home advantage at San Siro create uncertainty. Inter's defensive vulnerabilities in final minutes and mental struggles against elite Italian opposition could be exploited. Lautaro Martinez's absence through injury weakens Inter's attacking potency while raising defensive scrutiny.
Last Update: 07-03-2026
Stats:
| AC Milan | Inter |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 0.48 | 0.52 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.05 | 1.2 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.32 | 0.4 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 |
| 2 | Napoli | 20 | 6 | 6 | 66 |
| 3 | Milan | 18 | 9 | 5 | 63 |
| 4 | Juventus | 17 | 9 | 6 | 60 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 |
| 6 | Roma | 18 | 3 | 11 | 57 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 14 | 11 | 7 | 53 |
| 8 | Bologna | 14 | 6 | 12 | 48 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 11 | 9 | 44 |
| 10 | Udinese | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 6 | 15 | 39 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 |
| 14 | Parma | 8 | 12 | 12 | 36 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 |
| 18 | Lecce | 7 | 6 | 19 | 27 |
| 19 | Verona | 3 | 9 | 20 | 18 |
| 20 | AC Pisa | 2 | 12 | 18 | 18 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Martínez | INT | ARG | 28 | 16 | 4 |
| A. Douvikas | COM | GRE | 32 | 11 | 1 |
| N. Paz | COM | ARG | 31 | 11 | 6 |
| M. Thuram-Ulien | INT | FRA | 26 | 10 | 5 |
