Round 28 - Serie A
Genoa CFC VS AS Roma
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
8 March, 2026
Overview:
Serie A Round 28 fixture between Genoa (17th) and Roma (4th). Roma are strong contenders for UEFA Champions League qualification while Genoa struggle near relegation zone. Historical dominance favors Roma significantly.
Recent H2H results: Roma 3-1 Genoa
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of AS Roma.
Roma's possession dominance (61% vs 39%) and superior shot creation (1.32 xG) suggest they will control the match tempo. Genoa's recent improvement in head-to-head record indicates they may frustrate Roma defensively, but Roma's clean sheet record (7) and higher average goals scored (1.18 vs 1.11) provide significant advantage. Roma's 4th place position provides Champions League motivation.
Historical data shows Roma win 69.4% of matches against Genoa while Genoa win only 16.7%. Recent form favors Roma with 7 away wins this season. Genoa's 17th position and poor league standing severely disadvantage them despite local derby unpredictability.
Last Update: 18-02-2026
Stats:
| Genoa CFC | AS Roma |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 39 | 61 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.11 | 1.18 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.18 | 0.68 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 21 | 1 | 4 | 64 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 2 | 54 |
| 3 | Roma | 16 | 2 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Napoli | 15 | 5 | 6 | 50 |
| 5 | Juventus | 13 | 7 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Como 1907 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 12 | 9 | 5 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 10 | 5 | 11 | 35 |
| 10 | Lazio | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34 |
| 11 | Udinese | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 |
| 12 | Parma | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 |
| 14 | Genoa | 6 | 9 | 11 | 27 |
| 15 | Torino | 7 | 6 | 13 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 5 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 5 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 |
| 19 | AC Pisa | 1 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 2 | 9 | 15 | 15 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Martínez | INT | ARG | 25 | 14 | 4 |
| N. Paz | COM | ARG | 25 | 9 | 6 |
| A. Douvikas | COM | GRE | 26 | 8 | 1 |
| C. Pulisic | MIL | USA | 20 | 8 | 2 |