All predictions, forecasts, and information provided on GoalOverflow.com are for entertainment and informational purposes only

Round 28 - Serie A

Genoa CFC VS AS Roma

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

8 March, 2026

Overview:

Serie A Round 28 fixture between Genoa (17th) and Roma (4th). Roma are strong contenders for UEFA Champions League qualification while Genoa struggle near relegation zone. Historical dominance favors Roma significantly.

Recent H2H results: Roma 3-1 Genoa

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of AS Roma.
Roma's possession dominance (61% vs 39%) and superior shot creation (1.32 xG) suggest they will control the match tempo. Genoa's recent improvement in head-to-head record indicates they may frustrate Roma defensively, but Roma's clean sheet record (7) and higher average goals scored (1.18 vs 1.11) provide significant advantage. Roma's 4th place position provides Champions League motivation.
Historical data shows Roma win 69.4% of matches against Genoa while Genoa win only 16.7%. Recent form favors Roma with 7 away wins this season. Genoa's 17th position and poor league standing severely disadvantage them despite local derby unpredictability.

Last Update: 18-02-2026

Stats:

Genoa CFC AS Roma
Expected Possession
39 61
Average Goals Per Match
1.11 1.18
Win Probability
0.18 0.68
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Inter 21 1 4 64
2 Milan 15 9 2 54
3 Roma 16 2 8 50
4 Napoli 15 5 6 50
5 Juventus 13 7 6 46
6 Como 1907 12 9 5 45
7 Atalanta 12 9 5 45
8 Bologna 10 6 10 36
9 Sassuolo 10 5 11 35
10 Lazio 8 10 8 34
11 Udinese 9 5 12 32
12 Parma 8 8 10 32
13 Cagliari 7 8 11 29
14 Genoa 6 9 11 27
15 Torino 7 6 13 27
16 Fiorentina 5 9 12 24
17 Cremonese 5 9 12 24
18 Lecce 6 6 14 24
19 AC Pisa 1 12 13 15
20 Verona 2 9 15 15
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
L. Martínez INT ARG 25 14 4
N. Paz COM ARG 25 9 6
A. Douvikas COM GRE 26 8 1
C. Pulisic MIL USA 20 8 2

Enjoy Our Free Sports Tips?

Support Us with a Donation to Keep the Website Alive and Growing!

Donate to GoalOverflow football predictions - banner with woman and soccer ball