Round 3 - La Liga
Sevilla FC VS Club Atletico de Madrid
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
29 August, 2026
Overview:
Sevilla FC host Club Atletico de Madrid in a La Liga round 3 match with Atletico entering as the more reliable side on recent strength metrics and Sevilla showing mixed home-capable but inconsistent form. Sevilla have shown strong pressing and possession phases, while Atletico’s profile is typically more controlled, compact, and efficient in lower-scoring matches.[2][7][13][11]
Recent H2H results: Atletico edge in recent meetings
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Club Atletico de Madrid.
Sevilla’s ability to press and sustain possession could create early pressure, but Atletico are better equipped to absorb pressure and attack in transition. If Sevilla fail to convert territorial advantage, Atletico’s compact shape and efficiency should tilt the match toward a narrow away result or draw.[2][7][13][11]
The model weights Atletico’s superior strength rating and more stable defensive profile more heavily than Sevilla’s home advantage. That shifts the expected outcome away from a Sevilla control-based win and toward Atletico avoiding defeat, with a low-scoring game most likely.[11][2]
Last Update: 31-07-2026
Stats:
| Sevilla FC | Club Atletico de Madrid |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 56.9 | 51 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1 | 1.6 |
| Win Probability | |
| 0.28 | 0.41 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 31 | 1 | 6 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 5 | 6 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 |
| 4 | Atleti | 21 | 6 | 11 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 15 | 15 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 14 | 12 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 13 | 14 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic | 13 | 6 | 19 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla FC | 12 | 7 | 19 | 43 |
| 14 | Alavés | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 9 | 14 | 15 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 6 | 11 | 21 | 29 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mbappé | RMA | FRA | 31 | 25 | 4 |
| V. Muriqi | MAL | KOS | 37 | 23 | 1 |
| A. Budimir | OSA | CRO | 37 | 17 | N/A |
| F. Torres | FCB | SPA | 35 | 16 | 3 |