Overview:

Newcastle United host AFC Bournemouth in Premier League round 3, with Newcastle carrying stronger overall squad quality and home advantage, while Bournemouth profile as a more compact, counter-attacking side. Newcastle’s recent league form is mixed, but their historical baseline and home strength make them slight favorites.

Recent H2H results: Newcastle edge recent meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Newcastle United.
Newcastle are likely to dominate territory and possession, while Bournemouth may sit deeper and look for breaks into space behind the full-backs. The key battle is whether Newcastle can convert pressure early without being exposed in transition.
Home advantage, superior squad depth, and expected possession control tilt the match toward Newcastle, but Bournemouth’s counter threat keeps the draw probability meaningful.

Last Update: 31-07-2026

Stats:

Newcastle United FC	AFC Bournemouth
Expected Possession
56	44
Average Goals Per Match
1.7	1.2
Win Probability
54	21

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Arsenal	26	7	5	85
2	Man City	23	9	6	78
3	Man United	20	11	7	71
4	Aston Villa	19	8	11	65
5	Liverpool	17	9	12	60
6	Bournemouth	13	18	7	57
7	Sunderland	14	12	12	54
8	Brighton Hove	14	11	13	53
9	Brentford	14	11	13	53
10	Chelsea	14	10	14	52
11	Fulham	15	7	16	52
12	Newcastle	14	7	17	49
13	Everton	13	10	15	49
14	Leeds United	11	14	13	47
15	Crystal Palace	11	12	15	45
16	Nottingham	11	11	16	44
17	Tottenham	10	11	17	41
18	West Ham	10	9	19	39
19	Burnley	4	10	24	22
20	Wolverhampton	3	11	24	20

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
E. Haaland	MCI	NOR	36	27	8
T. Rodrigues	BRE	BRA	38	22	1
A. Semenyo	MCI	GHA	37	17	4
O. Watkins	AVL	ENG	37	16	3

Newcastle United FC VS AFC Bournemouth

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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