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Round 3 - Premier League

Arsenal FC VS Chelsea FC

Emirates Stadium

6 September, 2026

Overview:

Arsenal host Chelsea in a Premier League meeting that projects as a high-control home performance versus a more transition-heavy away threat. Arsenal’s current profile points to stronger defensive stability and slightly higher possession, while Chelsea’s upside depends on counterattacks and attacking efficiency.[4][11][14]

Recent H2H results: Mixed recent results

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Arsenal FC.
Arsenal are likely to press high, dominate territory, and use short-passing combinations plus set-piece strength, while Chelsea will aim to exploit space behind the defensive line and attack in transition.[6][11][14]
Arsenal’s stronger defensive metrics and home control increase their win likelihood, but Chelsea’s transition threat keeps the draw and away-win probabilities non-trivial.[4][6][11]

Last Update: 31-07-2026

Stats:

Arsenal FC Chelsea FC
Expected Possession
58 42
Average Goals Per Match
2 1.4
Win Probability
0.56 0.18
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 26 7 5 85
2 Man City 23 9 6 78
3 Man United 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Hove 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle 14 7 17 49
13 Everton 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton 3 11 24 20
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 36 27 8
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 38 22 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 37 17 4
O. Watkins AVL ENG 37 16 3

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