Overview:

FSV Mainz 05 host SC Paderborn 07 in a Bundesliga matchup with Mainz holding the stronger home profile and Paderborn expected to remain competitive on transitions.

Recent H2H results: Mainz favored in recent meeting

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of FSV Mainz 05.
Mainz are likely to control more possession and attack through wider areas, while Paderborn may focus on compact defending and fast breaks. The match may be decided by Mainz’s ability to convert territorial advantage into chances and avoid turnovers in central zones.
Mainz’s home advantage and slightly higher expected control tilt the matchup toward a narrow home win, while Paderborn’s transition threat keeps a draw within reach.

Last Update: 26-07-2026

Stats:

1. FSV Mainz 05	SC Paderborn 07
Expected Possession
53.5	46.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.7	1.2
Win Probability
48	24

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Bayern	28	5	1	89
2	Dortmund	22	7	5	73
3	RB Leipzig	20	5	9	65
4	Stuttgart	18	8	8	62
5	Hoffenheim	18	7	9	61
6	Leverkusen	17	8	9	59
7	Freiburg	13	8	13	47
8	Frankfurt	11	11	12	44
9	Augsburg	12	7	15	43
10	Mainz	10	10	14	40
11	Union Berlin	10	9	15	39
12	M'gladbach	9	11	14	38
13	HSV	9	11	14	38
14	1. FC Köln	7	11	16	32
15	Bremen	8	8	18	32
16	Wolfsburg	7	8	19	29
17	Heidenheim	6	8	20	26
18	St. Pauli	6	8	20	26

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
H. Kane	FCB	ENG	32	36	4
D. Undav	VFB	GER	29	19	6
S. Guirassy	BVB	GUI	34	17	N/A
P. Schick	B04	CZE	28	16	2

1. FSV Mainz 05 VS SC Paderborn 07

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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