Overview:

Borussia Dortmund host Hamburger SV in a Bundesliga matchup where Dortmund are the clear favorite based on recent model outputs and historical result patterns. Available projections point to a home win, with a likely competitive scoreline rather than a one-sided result.

Recent H2H results: Dortmund 3-2 Hamburg

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
Dortmund are likely to dominate possession and territory, while Hamburg may focus on compact defending and quick transitions. The key tactical question is whether Hamburg can survive Dortmund's pressing and wide overloads without conceding early.
Dortmund's superior home strength and stronger model probabilities outweigh Hamburg's counterattacking upside, making a home win the most probable outcome.

Last Update: 26-07-2026

Stats:

Borussia Dortmund	Hamburger SV
Expected Possession
58	42
Average Goals Per Match
2.1	1
Win Probability
67	13

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Bayern	28	5	1	89
2	Dortmund	22	7	5	73
3	RB Leipzig	20	5	9	65
4	Stuttgart	18	8	8	62
5	Hoffenheim	18	7	9	61
6	Leverkusen	17	8	9	59
7	Freiburg	13	8	13	47
8	Frankfurt	11	11	12	44
9	Augsburg	12	7	15	43
10	Mainz	10	10	14	40
11	Union Berlin	10	9	15	39
12	M'gladbach	9	11	14	38
13	HSV	9	11	14	38
14	1. FC Köln	7	11	16	32
15	Bremen	8	8	18	32
16	Wolfsburg	7	8	19	29
17	Heidenheim	6	8	20	26
18	St. Pauli	6	8	20	26

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
H. Kane	FCB	ENG	32	36	4
D. Undav	VFB	GER	29	19	6
S. Guirassy	BVB	GUI	34	17	N/A
P. Schick	B04	CZE	28	16	2

Borussia Dortmund VS Hamburger SV

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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