Overview:

Borussia Dortmund are the stronger side overall and have the better head-to-head record, while SC Paderborn 07 have historically been competitive enough to avoid a one-sided matchup.[1][5][13] Based on the available evidence, Dortmund should be favored at home, with a moderate-to-high chance of controlling possession and creating more high-quality chances.[1][6][13]

Recent H2H results: Dortmund 6-1 Paderborn

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
Dortmund are likely to attack through sustained possession, wide progression, and volume shooting, while Paderborn may look to absorb pressure and counter into space.[1][6][13] Set-piece performance and transition defense could materially affect the margin, because Dortmund’s superiority is strongest when they avoid being stretched.[1][8]
The head-to-head edge, higher scoring profile, and stronger team metrics all point toward a Dortmund home win, but Paderborn’s ability to score in previous meetings makes a clean sheet less certain.[1][5][8][13]

Last Update: 31-07-2026

Stats:

Borussia Dortmund	SC Paderborn 07
Expected Possession
59	41
Average Goals Per Match
2.1	1
Win Probability
67	13

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Bayern	28	5	1	89
2	Dortmund	22	7	5	73
3	RB Leipzig	20	5	9	65
4	Stuttgart	18	8	8	62
5	Hoffenheim	18	7	9	61
6	Leverkusen	17	8	9	59
7	Freiburg	13	8	13	47
8	Frankfurt	11	11	12	44
9	Augsburg	12	7	15	43
10	Mainz	10	10	14	40
11	Union Berlin	10	9	15	39
12	M'gladbach	9	11	14	38
13	HSV	9	11	14	38
14	1. FC Köln	7	11	16	32
15	Bremen	8	8	18	32
16	Wolfsburg	7	8	19	29
17	Heidenheim	6	8	20	26
18	St. Pauli	6	8	20	26

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
H. Kane	FCB	ENG	32	36	4
D. Undav	VFB	GER	29	19	6
S. Guirassy	BVB	GUI	34	17	N/A
P. Schick	B04	CZE	28	16	2

Borussia Dortmund VS SC Paderborn 07

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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