Round 4 - Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart VS Borussia Dortmund
MHPArena
19 September, 2026
Overview:
VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga round 4, with Stuttgart entering as a possession-based, high-intensity side and Dortmund typically bringing stronger individual quality and transition threat. Stuttgart's recent statistical profile points to efficient build-up and strong attacking output, while their defensive vulnerability remains a key factor against a top opponent.[1][4][5][9]
Recent H2H results: Dortmund slight edge
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
Stuttgart are likely to try controlling territory and circulating the ball through structured possession, while Dortmund may target open spaces behind the fullbacks and attack quickly after turnovers. The match-up favors Stuttgart's organization in possession, but Dortmund's transition speed and higher-end finishing may punish any defensive gaps.[1][5][12][15]
Stuttgart's home-field advantage and strong possession metrics support a competitive performance, but Dortmund's attacking ceiling and transition threat reduce Stuttgart's win certainty. The most likely outcome is a narrow Dortmund win or a draw if Stuttgart can sustain control and limit counterattacks.
Last Update: 01-08-2026
Stats:
| VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 54.5 | 51.8 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.73 | 1.85 |
| Win Probability | |
| 34 | 39 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 22 | 7 | 5 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 5 | 9 | 65 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | HSV | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 15 | Bremen | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 32 | 36 | 4 |
| D. Undav | VFB | GER | 29 | 19 | 6 |
| S. Guirassy | BVB | GUI | 34 | 17 | N/A |
| P. Schick | B04 | CZE | 28 | 16 | 2 |