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Round 4 - Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart VS Borussia Dortmund

MHPArena

19 September, 2026

Overview:

VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga round 4, with Stuttgart entering as a possession-based, high-intensity side and Dortmund typically bringing stronger individual quality and transition threat. Stuttgart's recent statistical profile points to efficient build-up and strong attacking output, while their defensive vulnerability remains a key factor against a top opponent.[1][4][5][9]

Recent H2H results: Dortmund slight edge

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
Stuttgart are likely to try controlling territory and circulating the ball through structured possession, while Dortmund may target open spaces behind the fullbacks and attack quickly after turnovers. The match-up favors Stuttgart's organization in possession, but Dortmund's transition speed and higher-end finishing may punish any defensive gaps.[1][5][12][15]
Stuttgart's home-field advantage and strong possession metrics support a competitive performance, but Dortmund's attacking ceiling and transition threat reduce Stuttgart's win certainty. The most likely outcome is a narrow Dortmund win or a draw if Stuttgart can sustain control and limit counterattacks.

Last Update: 01-08-2026

Stats:

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
Expected Possession
54.5 51.8
Average Goals Per Match
1.73 1.85
Win Probability
34 39
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Bayern 28 5 1 89
2 Dortmund 22 7 5 73
3 RB Leipzig 20 5 9 65
4 Stuttgart 18 8 8 62
5 Hoffenheim 18 7 9 61
6 Leverkusen 17 8 9 59
7 Freiburg 13 8 13 47
8 Frankfurt 11 11 12 44
9 Augsburg 12 7 15 43
10 Mainz 10 10 14 40
11 Union Berlin 10 9 15 39
12 M'gladbach 9 11 14 38
13 HSV 9 11 14 38
14 1. FC Köln 7 11 16 32
15 Bremen 8 8 18 32
16 Wolfsburg 7 8 19 29
17 Heidenheim 6 8 20 26
18 St. Pauli 6 8 20 26
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
H. Kane FCB ENG 32 36 4
D. Undav VFB GER 29 19 6
S. Guirassy BVB GUI 34 17 N/A
P. Schick B04 CZE 28 16 2

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