Overview:

Serie A Round 37 derby between AS Roma and Lazio Roma at Roma's home ground. Roma enter as clear favorites on the basis of stronger league position, superior defensive record, and better home form, while Lazio arrive with inconsistent away performances and a narrower goal output.

Recent H2H results: Roma edge the recent derby trend

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of AS Roma.
Roma are likely to control territory and tempo, using a balanced press and direct attacking phases to exploit Lazio's away fragility. Lazio may sit deeper, look to break through midfield transitions, and target set pieces. The derby context increases caution, which usually lowers total goals and rewards the more stable defensive side.
Roma's home advantage, better points total, and stronger defensive metrics outweigh Lazio's derby competitiveness. The most likely pattern is a narrow Roma win in a low-to-moderate scoring match.

Last Update: 15-05-2026

Stats:

AS Roma	Lazio Roma
Expected Possession
54.2	45.8
Average Goals Per Match
1.53	1.03
Win Probability
55	18

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Inter	27	6	5	87
2	Napoli	23	7	8	76
3	Roma	23	4	11	73
4	Como 1907	20	11	7	71
5	Milan	20	10	8	70
6	Juventus	19	12	7	69
7	Atalanta	15	14	9	59
8	Bologna	16	8	14	56
9	Lazio	14	12	12	54
10	Udinese	14	8	16	50
11	Sassuolo	14	7	17	49
12	Torino	12	9	17	45
13	Parma	11	12	15	45
14	Cagliari	11	10	17	43
15	Fiorentina	9	15	14	42
16	Genoa	10	11	17	41
17	Lecce	10	8	20	38
18	Cremonese	8	10	20	34
19	Verona	3	12	23	21
20	AC Pisa	2	12	24	18

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
L. Martínez	INT	ARG	33	17	6
A. Douvikas	COM	GRE	38	14	1
D. Malen	ROM	NET	18	14	2
M. Thuram-Ulien	INT	FRA	31	13	6

AS Roma VS Lazio Roma

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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