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Round 37 - Serie A

Genoa CFC VS AC Milan

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

17 May, 2026

Overview:

Serie A Round 37 match between Genoa CFC and AC Milan at Luigi Ferraris. Historical head-to-head strongly favors AC Milan, but recent form indicators show Genoa have been more stable in the short term while Milan have been inconsistent. Milan still carry superior squad quality and higher match control, yet away setting and late-season volatility increase draw risk.

Recent H2H results: AC Milan edge overall; recent meeting ended 1-1

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of AC Milan.
Genoa are likely to defend in mid-block and look to exploit transitions, while Milan should control possession and attack through wide areas and half-spaces. Set pieces and late-game substitutions may be decisive, especially if Milan struggle to convert early pressure.
Historical superiority and stronger overall quality favor AC Milan, but Genoa’s home setting and Milan’s recent inconsistency raise the probability of a narrow away win or draw. The most likely outcomes are a low-to-moderate scoring Milan victory or a draw.

Last Update: 15-05-2026

Stats:

Genoa CFC AC Milan
Expected Possession
45.2 54.8
Average Goals Per Match
1.05 1.52
Win Probability
24.6 48
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Inter 27 6 5 87
2 Napoli 23 7 8 76
3 Roma 23 4 11 73
4 Como 1907 20 11 7 71
5 Milan 20 10 8 70
6 Juventus 19 12 7 69
7 Atalanta 15 14 9 59
8 Bologna 16 8 14 56
9 Lazio 14 12 12 54
10 Udinese 14 8 16 50
11 Sassuolo 14 7 17 49
12 Torino 12 9 17 45
13 Parma 11 12 15 45
14 Cagliari 11 10 17 43
15 Fiorentina 9 15 14 42
16 Genoa 10 11 17 41
17 Lecce 10 8 20 38
18 Cremonese 8 10 20 34
19 Verona 3 12 23 21
20 AC Pisa 2 12 24 18
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
L. Martínez INT ARG 33 17 6
A. Douvikas COM GRE 38 14 1
D. Malen ROM NET 18 14 2
M. Thuram-Ulien INT FRA 31 13 6

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