Overview:

Serie A Round 38: AC Milan host Cagliari Calcio in a late-season fixture where Milan's stronger squad depth, home advantage, and historical head-to-head superiority make them clear favorites, though Cagliari's compact defending and counterattacking threat could keep the match competitive.

Recent H2H results: AC Milan lead the recent H2H convincingly

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of AC Milan.
Milan should dominate territory and possession, using wide overloads and central rotations to break Cagliari's low block. Cagliari are likely to defend deep, narrow spaces, and look for transitions after turnovers. The match may hinge on Milan's ability to score first and avoid frustration.
Historical dominance and current structural superiority favor Milan, but Cagliari's defensive setup lowers expected scoring volume and slightly increases draw risk. The most likely outcome is a controlled Milan win with limited total goals.

Last Update: 21-05-2026

Stats:

AC Milan	Cagliari Calcio
Expected Possession
58.4	41.6
Average Goals Per Match
1.82	0.96
Win Probability
68.5	11.1

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Inter	27	6	5	87
2	Napoli	23	7	8	76
3	Roma	23	4	11	73
4	Como 1907	20	11	7	71
5	Milan	20	10	8	70
6	Juventus	19	12	7	69
7	Atalanta	15	14	9	59
8	Bologna	16	8	14	56
9	Lazio	14	12	12	54
10	Udinese	14	8	16	50
11	Sassuolo	14	7	17	49
12	Torino	12	9	17	45
13	Parma	11	12	15	45
14	Cagliari	11	10	17	43
15	Fiorentina	9	15	14	42
16	Genoa	10	11	17	41
17	Lecce	10	8	20	38
18	Cremonese	8	10	20	34
19	Verona	3	12	23	21
20	AC Pisa	2	12	24	18

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
L. Martínez	INT	ARG	33	17	6
A. Douvikas	COM	GRE	38	14	1
D. Malen	ROM	NET	18	14	2
M. Thuram-Ulien	INT	FRA	31	13	6

AC Milan VS Cagliari Calcio

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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